| 1 | Feb 16, '23 | Seems like there should be terminology introduced to differentiate between recalls and software updates. Because you know, one requires something to be recalled and the other doesn | 114× | 2.4M | 3.3k | 194 | 17 |
| 2 | Jan 3, '25 | Still working to update w/ incremental info from the SpaceX report, but I'm always amazed at how robust wrights law cost declines are: This is $/Gbps in orbit: | 72.1× | 1.5M | 3k | 353 | 122 |
| 3 | Aug 7, '21 | How it started How it’s going | 66.7× | 0 | 45k | 2.7k | 398 |
| 4 | Jan 4, '23 | US new vehicle market share change since 2020: | 53.6× | 1.1M | 1.1k | 137 | 40 |
| 5 | Jan 28, '23 | SpaceX Bar and Grill in Kenya. They serve a great satellite dish. | 36.2× | 759k | 1.5k | 58 | 11 |
| 6 | Feb 2, '23 | A look at the EV scaling so far. | 25.5× | 535k | 686 | 89 | 29 |
| 7 | Feb 13, '23 | A brief summary of manufacturing history: "It can't be done." "That's impossible!" It gets done. Repeat. | 25× | 524k | 623 | 61 | 22 |
| 8 | Jan 13, '23 | It wouldn't surprise me if Amazon added more robots than people at some point within the next few years. | ⚡ 19.4× | 13.9M | 11k | 1.1k | 250 |
| 9 | Oct 28, '22 | From $90 billion to $1.2 trillion committed to electric vehicles in just four years. | 17.6× | 0 | 11k | 608 | 114 |
| 10 | Dec 27, '23 | 1/A terrible piece of reporting in the WSJ imo. This is the headline and chart above the start of the article text: | 16.7× | 349k | 979 | 90 | 104 |
| 11 | Sep 5, '23 | The gov is spending 3x to 22x the cost of Starlink to connect rural locations to broadband. For context Starlink hardware is $599. | 15.8× | 330k | 1.6k | 229 | 51 |
| 12 | Mar 4, '21 | Just started reading Engines That Move Markets ...and by reading I mean looking at the pictures. | 14.1× | 0 | 9.5k | 356 | 208 |
| 13 | Mar 20, '24 | 1/Here's a thread to send to people when they quote the media saying there is an EV slowdown. Add your comments/takes so it can be a useful resource. Why is the media claiming an E | 13× | 272k | 745 | 148 | 301 |
| 14 | Jan 24, '22 | The electric vehicle share gain continues. | 12.5× | 0 | 8k | 530 | 90 |
| 15 | Jun 8, '23 | It seems a charging standard for North America has been established: GM joins Ford in adopting Tesla's charging standard. | 11.8× | 248k | 985 | 63 | 5 |
| 16 | Jul 17, '23 | I think it's a good sign for demand when a vehicle that's not for sale surpasses search demand for one of the best selling cars in the world. | 11× | 231k | 731 | 110 | 14 |
| 17 | May 6, '22 | The other crazy stat is that over 3 million people applied to work at Tesla in 2021 and Tesla added ~28,500 people in 2021. Probably an interesting opportunity to create an educati | 10.3× | 0 | 6.8k | 395 | 70 |
| 18 | Mar 2, '23 | My summary of Tesla’s Investor Day: No Flash, All Substance …more to come in this week’s newsletter after some brainstorming. Feel free to comment your takes below. | 10.0× | 209k | 636 | 49 | 9 |
| 19 | Jun 13, '23 | 2017: Toyota to have solid state batteries in EVs by 2022 2023: Toyota to have solid state batteries in EVs by 2027 | 9.2× | 194k | 892 | 92 | 30 |
| 20 | Jan 27, '25 | 2015: Battery costs will not drop below $300/kWh 2018: Battery costs might get to $100/kWh in 2030 then EVs make sense 2025: Are you ready for sub $30/kWh batteries? | 9.2× | 193k | 2.2k | 394 | 296 |
| 21 | Oct 21, '25 | Remember this quarter. GM is being rewarded for abandoning the future. | 9.2× | 193k | 708 | 30 | 21 |
| 22 | Oct 11, '24 | 10/10 We Robot -Can buy cybercab -Less than 30k -20 cents operating cost -30-40 cents with taxes and fees -Starting next year in California and Texas with model 3 and y -Cybercab i | 7.7× | 162k | 2.1k | 213 | 211 |
| 23 | Oct 17, '25 | Why we think Elon's pay package could be a win-win-win. Grow the pie, create abundance. | ⚡ 7.0× | 15.4M | 3k | 426 | 533 |
| 24 | Jul 17, '23 | Tesla makes one production Cybertruck and Ford cuts prices by $10,000. | 6.4× | 135k | 727 | 64 | 4 |
| 25 | Mar 6, '21 | I wonder what happens to railways when autonomous electric trucks start competing on price per ton-mile... | 6.0× | 0 | 3.3k | 249 | 106 |
| 26 | Aug 7, '24 | 1/Put together a Wright's Law Curve for electricity in the US from 1893-2021: WW2 temporarily paused electricity price declines. But what happened in 1974? | 5.6× | 118k | 611 | 58 | 88 |
| 27 | Oct 7, '25 | If only there was a car that was $10-13k less than the average new vehicle, but didn’t compromise on performance or range. | 5.3× | 112k | 887 | 76 | 61 |
| 28 | Oct 3, '19 | Tesla's global market share nearly doubled since this time last year. | 5.3× | 0 | 3.5k | 233 | 11 |
| 29 | Sep 24, '20 | 1/ Tesla is creating and killing the electric vehicle competition. Tesla’s battery day affirms Wright’s Law and spells trouble for the competition. | 4.9× | 0 | 2.1k | 431 | 195 |
| 30 | Sep 23, '20 | 1/ I think Tesla just announced its plans for a 400 mile range $25,000 electric vehicle. If delivered in 2023 this would put Tesla ~3 years ahead of our original cost curve. | 4.8× | 0 | 2.3k | 400 | 176 |
| 31 | Apr 16, '24 | Updated. | 4.8× | 101k | 1k | 113 | 54 |
| 32 | Jul 26, '21 | For everyone looking to compare the Tesla and Ford Model T ramp. Pulling data from Tesla website and Wikipedia for Ford. | 4.8× | 0 | 2.9k | 241 | 54 |
| 33 | Apr 28, '21 | 1/Tesla said it believes the Model Y can become the best-selling vehicle globally in ~2022. Comparing to 2019, that would mean ~1.5 million units. Here's how the Model Y ramp looks | 4.7× | 0 | 3k | 191 | 44 |
| 34 | Jun 27, '25 | LLM's are book smart, this is street smart. | 4.6× | 97k | 1.5k | 68 | 37 |
| 35 | Jan 2, '24 | Four years ago Tesla delivered ~500,000 units in the entire year. They just made around that many in a single quarter. | 4.3× | 89k | 592 | 57 | 6 |
| 36 | Mar 11, '25 | Yes solar, but 👀 storage | 4.1× | 86k | 662 | 108 | 117 |
| 37 | Jun 14, '24 | Jensen said it: No task beneath you. How can Optimus take over the world? Start by going around and empty trashcans into bigger trashcans then empty those trashcans into the dumpst | 4.1× | 85k | 691 | 29 | 28 |
| 38 | May 28, '21 | Space Junk by Altitude | 4.0× | 0 | 2.4k | 225 | 67 |
| 39 | Jan 2, '21 | Factories build cars, Tesla builds factories | 4.0× | 0 | 2.5k | 193 | 40 |
| 40 | Mar 26, '24 | A humanoid robot is less than a tenth the weight of a car, can the manufacturing ramp be 10x that of a vehicle? Does that even matter? Seems like the constraint is going to be soft | 3.7× | 78k | 578 | 23 | 15 |
| 41 | Mar 26, '24 | @AlecStapp Warhol would be proud | 3.7× | 78k | 571 | 1 | 2 |
| 42 | Feb 25, '21 | 1/Tesla won over California early. In 2020 it seems to have started winning over the rest of the US. | 3.5× | 0 | 2.4k | 100 | 18 |
| 43 | Jul 11, '22 | A nice look at EV adoption by country | 3.3× | 0 | 1.6k | 205 | 95 |
| 44 | Dec 19, '23 | "Volkswagen is returning to physical buttons instead of touch controls" Just like all smartphones went back to physical touchpads. | 3.3× | 70k | 601 | 27 | 9 |
| 45 | Jul 23, '20 | Renewable first in Europe! In the first half of 2020, renewables generated 40% of the EU-27’s electricity, whereas fossil fuels generated 34%. | 3.3× | 0 | 1.9k | 270 | 13 |
| 46 | May 20, '21 | 1/ @wintonARK, @yassineARK, and I just posted an incremental update to ARK's open-source Solar+Battery+Bitcoin mining model, which now allows one to test how the system would have | 2.7× | 0 | 1.2k | 228 | 167 |
| 47 | Oct 21, '20 | GM Hummer EV tri-motor is $30,000 more expensive than the equivalent Cybertruck and has 200 miles less range. | 2.6× | 0 | 1.1k | 217 | 17 |
| 48 | Aug 24, '20 | 1/ Why does Musk keep hinting at his excitement for an electric jet? In the past he has said that electric flight starts to get interesting once you hit 400wh/kg | 2.6× | 0 | 1.5k | 149 | 51 |
| 49 | Apr 23, '25 | 58,000 Americans died fighting in Vietnam. In 2023 there were 41,000 lives lost on US roads. We have accepted an insane status quo. Autonomous cars can't come soon enough. | 2.5× | 52k | 652 | 67 | 22 |
| 50 | Apr 24, '19 | Well, this is embarrassing. #Tesla | 2.5× | 0 | 1.2k | 262 | 15 |
| 51 | Apr 23, '20 | Will people buy EVs with gas prices low? 1 People don't typically do total cost of ownership calcs 2 If they did, more people would be buying EVs 3 Gas prices are low, but a big pa | 2.4× | 0 | 1.5k | 103 | 20 |
| 52 | Apr 19, '24 | Kind of crazy that we may be about to create AGI without ever really understanding how the brain works. | 2.2× | 46k | 581 | 32 | 25 |
| 53 | Mar 10, '22 | Tesla raises car prices by 9 gas station fill-ups. | 2.2× | 0 | 1.4k | 98 | 11 |
| 54 | Jul 28, '18 | Why VCs are willing to dump money into electric scooter companies: Charge $1.63 per mile, but it only costs $0.32 per mile. If you think people love electric scooters now, wait unt | 2.1× | 0 | 841 | 286 | 40 |
| 55 | Feb 4, '21 | SpaceX's rate of improvement🚀🚀🚀 | 2.1× | 0 | 1.3k | 85 | 17 |
| 56 | Nov 8, '21 | This is from a 2014 paper. LFP battery cells were priced above NMC. Battery volume went to NMC. Now the opposite is true and it wouldn't be surprising to see incremental volume com | 2.1× | 0 | 1.3k | 64 | 29 |
| 57 | Oct 28, '20 | What does the difficulty curve look like for scaling manufacturing? Prototype easy 1-100 fairly easy 100-1,000 hard 1,000-10,000 harder 10,000-100,000 very hard 100,000-1,000,000 v | 2.0× | 0 | 1.4k | 28 | 26 |
| 58 | Mar 19, '21 | I think VW has the right strategy, but this is the difference between exponential and linear thinking. | 1.9× | 0 | 910 | 144 | 31 |
| 59 | Oct 2, '20 | One of these things is not like the other | 1.8× | 0 | 962 | 163 | 11 |
| 60 | Aug 10, '21 | Over 10 million unfilled jobs. Automation and education are solutions and there is rapid innovation happening in both. | 1.8× | 0 | 1.1k | 86 | 38 |
| 61 | Jan 14, '21 | 1/Some context for the number of EV companies emerging. In the early 1900s when gas cars were first gaining share there was a boom in the number of car companies, which was quickly | 1.8× | 0 | 1k | 88 | 59 |
| 62 | Nov 24, '21 | It took Amazon 7 years to deploy its first 200,000 robots. It took 2 years to deploy the next 150,000 | 1.7× | 0 | 943 | 119 | 32 |
| 63 | May 5, '21 | Landed. Reusable Falcon 9 lowered launch costs by an order of magnitude. Reusable Starship could lower launch costs by another 10-100x. | 1.7× | 0 | 1k | 90 | 2 |
| 64 | Apr 30, '20 | This is what gaining market share looks like. | 1.7× | 0 | 792 | 170 | 14 |
| 65 | Jan 27, '22 | A lot of people complaining about Tesla product announcements. Tesla said they may announce new factories this year. That’s one of the most important products of all. The factory i | 1.6× | 0 | 962 | 85 | 6 |
| 66 | Oct 7, '20 | Interesting to see Momentus and Rocket Lab take unique approaches to meet small satellite demand. Momentus with "last mile" orbit delivery. Rocket Lab with small rockets. | 1.6× | 0 | 1k | 85 | 21 |
| 67 | Jan 11, '22 | China passenger auto sales were up 4.4% to 20.1 million units in 2021, but that headline is a bit deceiving. Gas powered car sales were actually down roughly 4% while, battery elec | 1.6× | 0 | 802 | 132 | 23 |
| 68 | Jan 31, '20 | Read how ARK is thinking about Tesla for the next 5 years: | 1.6× | 0 | 635 | 149 | 66 |
| 69 | Apr 29, '19 | 6 years after the iPhone launched, competitors caught up. Car makers haven't even caught up with the 2012 #Tesla Model S. | 1.5× | 0 | 632 | 216 | 8 |
| 70 | Mar 20, '21 | View post on X | 1.5× | 0 | 706 | 127 | 48 |
| 71 | Jun 12, '19 | The EV market has grown over 11X since 2013 and Tesla has pretty much maintained its market share. | 1.5× | 0 | 847 | 116 | 6 |
| 72 | Nov 6, '20 | Tesla's rate of innovation is pretty amazing. The competition makes compromises to hit a certain price point and then is stuck there until 3-4 years later when they come out with a | 1.5× | 0 | 863 | 84 | 28 |
| 73 | Oct 7, '20 | Very simply, Tesla wants to become the best manufacturer in the world and, for the most part, traditional automakers don't want to become the best EV makers in the world. That seem | 1.5× | 0 | 888 | 85 | 11 |
| 74 | Dec 13, '19 | At peak horse, farm draft animals consumed the output of ~22% of all cropland. | 1.5× | 0 | 929 | 71 | 14 |
| 75 | Apr 7, '22 | Making a vehicle that has no paint that people want to buy is an underrated innovation. | 1.5× | 0 | 943 | 57 | 0 |
| 76 | May 24, '21 | And this is an interesting way of looking at the world: population by latitude. Interesting for both satellite internet and solar. | 1.5× | 0 | 745 | 127 | 37 |
| 77 | Sep 4, '20 | Ah yes, the staple of the battery company pitch deck. It's good to have so many people working on different approaches to improve cells. QuantumScape investor presentation here: | 1.4× | 0 | 866 | 62 | 48 |
| 78 | Dec 11, '19 | Maybe Porsche should have built the Taycan in a "tent" | 1.4× | 0 | 793 | 104 | 8 |
| 79 | Jul 8, '21 | Early adoption and FUD often go hand in hand. It's amazing how much progress has been made and how early it is. | 1.4× | 0 | 831 | 97 | 8 |
| 80 | Apr 29, '20 | Slowly but surely the alien dreadnaught takes shape If I had to guess, the cybertruck and likely "cyber" line of vehicles will take this beyond what people imagine possible. PAINti | 1.4× | 0 | 929 | 60 | 7 |
| 81 | Jan 6, '23 | Tesla's margins, superior drivetrain efficiency and low battery costs should make it one of the best positioned to weather any cyclical slowdown for autos. As it has done in the pa | ⚡ 1.4× | 1.7M | 761 | 82 | 16 |
| 82 | Oct 16, '20 | Imagine having to wait ~4 years to release a better car. Tesla's most recent Model 3 update separates it from the pack even more. | 1.3× | 0 | 774 | 88 | 23 |
| 83 | Jan 25, '21 | Tesla maintained market share as the battery electric vehicle market grew 33% year over year. (technically they grew market share, but rounding) | 1.3× | 0 | 729 | 94 | 21 |
| 84 | Aug 1, '22 | 1/The EV share gain for the first half of this year in context. | 1.3× | 0 | 667 | 121 | 26 |
| 85 | Sep 24, '20 | 15/ The crazy part of Battery Day isn't what was announced. It's that people still don't believe it's possible. Going to discuss this at ARK's brainstorm tomorrow and add more thou | 1.3× | 0 | 803 | 55 | 8 |
| 86 | Mar 7, '22 | Prediction: If you don't have the drivetrain efficiency to produce a vehicle with acceptable range using lithium iron phosphate batteries, you're going to have a bad time. | 1.3× | 0 | 717 | 65 | 10 |
| 87 | Jan 22, '20 | 1/ If you take the average fatalities per vehicle since autopilot was introduced. Fatalities are ~2.5 times less likely if people are driving Teslas compared to the US average. And | 1.3× | 0 | 690 | 97 | 15 |
| 88 | Jul 9, '21 | 1/GAO study finds that 2-3 million U.S. small businesses lack access to broadband. "A Vermont inn and spa owner said she pays $78 a month for a 10 Mbps download speed, and she’d ha | 1.3× | 0 | 799 | 41 | 9 |
| 89 | Oct 6, '22 | One way to reduce open tabs: Tweet out link you know you'll eventually want to look at. FCC applications to launch and operate satellites: ...or if anyone has gone through and has | 1.2× | 0 | 808 | 32 | 21 |
| 90 | Dec 4, '19 | Detailed comparison coming, but the craziest part of the Ford F150 is that is costs an extra $7,015 for adaptive cruise control. It costs $7,000 to add the full self driving option | 1.2× | 0 | 639 | 117 | 5 |
| 91 | Sep 4, '19 | The Porsche Taycan is pretty good, but it still trails the 7 year old Tesla Model S. The Model S has almost 100 miles of extra range. And for the price of a Taycan, you can buy the | 1.2× | 0 | 565 | 127 | 8 |
| 92 | Oct 7, '21 | Used car price index at an all-time high, but interesting to note that used vehicle sales were down 13% year-over-year in September. | 1.2× | 0 | 610 | 72 | 18 |
| 93 | Jan 14, '22 | 1/ You're a car maker. You don't believe 100% in EVs. You eventually realize batteries are a limiting factor. You sign a fixed price "long-term" contract for supply. It's not enoug | 1.2× | 0 | 751 | 48 | 12 |
| 94 | Sep 23, '21 | The Consumer Reports review of the Tesla yoke reminds me a lot of the first reviews of Apple's iPhone keyboard. | 1.2× | 0 | 674 | 63 | 1 |
| 95 | Jul 29, '20 | RIP coal🪦 | 1.1× | 0 | 585 | 78 | 6 |
| 96 | Mar 3, '21 | Legendary | 1.0× | 0 | 679 | 51 | 1 |
| 97 | Jan 14, '21 | 2/When China was handing out money to EV companies there was a boom of ~500 companies. Of those, "just 11 succeeded in raising funds last year (2019)" | 1.0× | 0 | 666 | 33 | 12 |
| 98 | May 24, '21 | SpaceX is approaching the point of operating 50% of the active satellites orbiting Earth. | 1.0× | 0 | 588 | 54 | 5 |
| 99 | Mar 1, '21 | SpaceX makes falcon 1, realizes not a sustainable market and makes falcon 9. 10+ years later every small rocket company says small rockets are a sustainable market. Rocket Labs goe | 0.9× | 0 | 604 | 31 | 10 |
| 100 | Apr 22, '20 | 2/ Tesla: Tell fleet to flag that specific edge case. Train on that real world data set. Validate with million car global fleet. Implement. | 0.9× | 0 | 587 | 27 | 2 |