Mac10

@SuburbanDrone134k followers

Trader, and prime chronicler of the Terminal Idiocracy. I make my living monetizing morons - the addressable market size is unlimited. INVEST AT YOUR OWN RISK

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Posts 101 posts

#	Date	Post	↓ Outlier	Views	Likes	Reposts	Bookmarks
1	Jun 2, '25	Pundits are saying the housing market is starting to implode. Prices are just starting to roll over, but supply is building. This data is from FRED and it shows that the U.S. house	149×	538k	854	132	374
2	Aug 16, '25	Nvidia can never go down again, or this market is toast. The stock is now a systemic risk. AI is a systemic risk.	111×	402k	1.1k	167	167
3	Sep 26, '25	Excellent article in WSJ explaining in detail how the AI bubble is highly unlikely to ever payoff. Unlike the Y2k internet bubble, the AI hardware being purchased now is depreciati	63×	227k	2.2k	318	1.3k
4	Aug 23, '24	Stand back. Nothing this dumb has been tried before.	62.8×	227k	1.7k	333	374
5	Jun 5, '23	The equal weight S&P 500 just entered its sixth death cross since 2009. There were no times the S&P 500 didn't implode after.	53.1×	192k	1k	257	185
6	Aug 28, '24	The AI bubble is over. We are now in a toothpaste bubble.	47.7×	172k	1.1k	128	102
7	Dec 15, '22	Let's make this interesting. A year ago I had 2,000 Twitter followers, now I have ~78,000. Therefore I will now make a bold prediction of VIX ~200 by the end of THIS year. If I'm w	34.3×	124k	652	87	28
8	Nov 13, '25	The reason there is so much complacency right now is because it has been 15 years since the last real bear market, which is a record in U.S. history. Now no one believes in the cyc	32.2×	116k	825	135	219
9	Sep 17, '25	I just learned via Zerohedge an "incredible fact" that every time the Fed cut rates with stocks at all time highs, the S&P was higher EVERY time: That's so incredible, I had to see	29.7×	107k	1.1k	164	347
10	Dec 26, '24	It begins now.	25.9×	94k	691	154	242
11	Sep 24, '24	The chart that no bull wants to see: It's time for a hair cut.	25.3×	91k	788	179	220
12	Oct 29, '25	Global crash is inevitable. Sooner than later.	17.8×	64k	1.1k	121	123
13	Apr 29, '23	Russell 2000 Death Cross. The S&P 500 crashed every time since 2010. No exceptions.	17.5×	63k	637	123	68
14	Nov 6, '25	At this level of layoffs in 2009, stocks were down -50%. Currently stocks are 35% off the April lows and still near all time highs. The level of over-confident buffoonery is epic r	12.7×	46k	908	176	106
15	Aug 13, '25	This is a 1987 level of crash risk:	11.8×	43k	724	111	132
16	May 12, '22	Crypto losses now equal $1.7 trillion. The 2007 subprime mortgage market was $1.3 trillion. It's highly likely that Crypto will be the catalyst for accelerated global collapse. Wee	11.2×	0	5.4k	1.2k	457
17	Sep 18, '25	This is what the Dotcom bubble was like at the end - total madness. And then it was all over.	9.9×	36k	756	86	87
18	Jun 10, '22	"It took 14 years for investors to forget 2008" THE END.	6.9×	0	4.1k	720	332
19	Jun 27, '22	Every market peak in 2022 has been the last week of the month:	4.1×	0	2.5k	405	151
20	Aug 2, '22	Average New Home Price, biggest drop since 2008. What every realtor doesn't want you to see:	4.1×	0	2.1k	474	226
21	Apr 22, '22	Today was the first 90% down day of 2022. Any questions?	4.0×	0	2.4k	372	96
22	Jul 1, '22	This is what freaked out the market yesterday: The consumer is imploding.	3.4×	0	1.8k	424	149
23	May 26, '22	Investors are being told it's too late to sell. Anyone who doesn't sell near the top must traverse "The valley of death" to get to a new high on the other side. After Y2K it took 1	3.2×	0	1.6k	299	215
24	Apr 24, '22	This is what no other pundit will say: The coming "low" when it arrives after extreme volatility, will NOT be a buying opportunity. It will be a RENTING opportunity. Because we wil	3.1×	0	1.5k	243	359
25	Jul 11, '22	The collapse of China will take every pundit by surprise even though it's happening in broad daylight. This year, Chinese GDP is the lowest in three decades. (I netted out 2020/202	3.0×	0	1.5k	345	142
26	Jun 28, '22	Oil is in deep trouble.	2.9×	0	1.5k	219	93
27	May 14, '22	Here is my S&P 500 prediction with the 1929 Dow as inset. So far, they are the same:	2.7×	0	1.4k	256	179
28	Jul 28, '22	The S&P is now back to fully overbought (lower pane) on confirmed recession. You can't make this shit up.	2.6×	0	1.6k	232	106
29	Apr 25, '22	What would make me bullish? Fed panic. Which will happen AFTER investor panic. Here are my price levels based upon Fed policy reaction. I won't buy anything until Zerohedge leads w	2.5×	0	1.4k	240	159
30	Jan 27, '22	The Tesla bubble is over. Somehow Elon nailed the top.	2.5×	0	1.6k	180	47
31	Jul 8, '22	Relative to the long-term trend line this housing bubble is TWICE as overvalued as the last one. STILL, the Fed is going to keep raising rates at record pace UNTIL we have a soft l	2.4×	0	1.1k	273	142
32	Jul 30, '22	Stocks are now officially massively overvalued relative to Treasury bonds. In recession, stocks will underperform bonds by a minus sign. What Wall Street doesn't want you to know -	2.3×	0	1.2k	180	211
33	Mar 4, '22	All of Europe gives back pandemic gains.	2.2×	0	1.2k	288	44
34	Aug 2, '22	Second largest monthly decline in 50 years. Fastest decline from all time high in history. Whiplash.	2.0×	0	1k	254	84
35	Nov 12, '22	This wasn't a pivot rally, this was a rate hike taper rally. Fed futures indicate the pace of rate hikes will slow going forward. We can expect that each lessening of Fed tightenin	1.9×	0	998	225	148
36	Nov 4, '22	Algos are using the options market to manipulate the market. They are suppressing implied volatility as Nasdaq VIX flash crashes w/growing intensity. It's only a matter of time bef	1.9×	0	1.1k	217	95
37	Feb 18, '22	Bulls, allow me to be the first and last person to tell you... You're in trouble.	1.8×	0	1.1k	131	31
38	Oct 31, '22	The market could do this ten times in a row and they still wouldn't figure it out.	1.8×	0	1.1k	191	66
39	Aug 3, '22	I could almost see getting fooled during the first sucker's rally this year. But the second time there is no excuse.	1.7×	0	1k	138	71
40	Aug 28, '22	This will be what I call a "Brown Swan event". What happens when bulls shit a brick because they realize the Fed is not bailing them out for the first time since 2008.	1.7×	0	1k	158	62
41	May 12, '22	Here's my market prediction. Take this with a grain of salt mine: Soon this slow drip turns to meltdown and the gong show begins. Market crashes. VIX spikes. Fed goes neutral. Dead	1.6×	0	832	139	111
42	Aug 14, '22	When you see that consumer sentiment bottomed out with home prices in 2008 (and again in 2011), you start to realize the magnitude of this debacle.	1.6×	0	902	181	68
43	May 15, '22	Home buying conditions lowest in 50 years:	1.6×	0	900	182	69
44	Jan 2, '22	In 2022 Millennials will get hit by a collapsed Tech bubble, Crypto bubble, and housing bubble all coming at the end of the cycle. Then they'll get a big tax bill and the IRS will	1.6×	0	787	135	82
45	Aug 9, '22	The last time the market tanked was CPI week in June. CPI is released on Wednesday.	1.6×	0	958	142	51
46	May 15, '22	Today's investors believe the bailout was way back in 2008. They are oblivious to the fact that they've been bailed out for 14 years straight. It pays to know when the bailout cycl	1.6×	0	879	151	97
47	May 25, '22	The "lesson learned" over the past 14 years is, wait for your bailout. Bailouts and praying are the new investment strategy.	1.6×	0	914	154	72
48	Mar 4, '22	What happens when you combine a 1970s oil shock with a 1998 Russian debt crisis, a 2008 end of cycle Fed policy error, a Y2K Tech meltdown, and 2015 EM Implosion? I don't know, but	1.6×	0	823	165	92
49	Jan 8, '22	We are on the verge of a $2.8 trillion crypto margin call. 3x subprime.	1.6×	0	903	115	65
50	Mar 26, '22	The most important thing that happened these past two weeks that no bulls noticed, is that commodities and Tech stocks are now 100% correlated for the first time since the Nasdaq p	1.5×	0	856	146	80
51	Apr 26, '22	Any questions?	1.5×	0	889	133	31
52	Mar 18, '22	The biggest rally in stocks in 1.5 years. The chart of the week: Bond market says...stocks are wrong.	1.5×	0	872	142	73
53	Jul 22, '22	Tech Earnings and FOMC have been catalyst for two major crashes in 2022. "This time will be different"	1.5×	0	782	173	66
54	Jul 12, '22	Any questions?	1.5×	0	854	155	34
55	Oct 31, '21	History will say that pandemic-related supply chain issues not only hid a collapse in demand, they drove a collapse in demand due to higher prices. We are on the cusp of the larges	1.5×	0	690	187	98
56	Mar 2, '22	Oil is hiding the end of the cycle. Again. The highest volatility in a rally since 2008. All roads lead to deflation.	1.5×	0	836	133	71
57	Oct 4, '22	The S&P breadth oscillator has predicted every turn in 2022. Now back to overbought. As you can see, the decline is accelerating.	1.5×	0	851	146	98
58	Aug 1, '22	"Inflation" is getting set to collapse.	1.4×	0	885	113	40
59	Jun 24, '22	Overbought to end the week:	1.4×	0	868	140	49
60	Jul 22, '22	To be clear, NO ONE knows what happens to a bear market in a recession with the Fed hiking, because that's NEVER happened before. The soft landing narrative is the biggest con job	1.4×	0	748	176	63
61	May 10, '22	Shorts are covering ahead of tomorrow's CPI number. Bulls, you will be happy to know that I am no longer predicting a market crash. I am now predicting a market EXPLOSION.	1.4×	0	867	100	39
62	Jun 15, '22	Home builder stocks just gave back all gains since 2005. History will say this was the dumbest society in history. "The problem is we lack supply"	1.4×	0	795	144	74
63	Oct 25, '22	Once again, Wall Street is front-running the pivot - the S&P is the most overbought since January 2019 when the Fed already pivoted. I would point out again that the oscillator	1.4×	0	807	144	91
64	May 22, '22	The Fed will now successfully navigate ALL of the risks that caused recession AND deep bear market in the past 50 years. WITHOUT a recession or deep bear market, while having the L	1.4×	0	729	173	66
65	Sep 28, '22	This is my best guess for what happens next. Take with a grain of salt. Work off the oversold condition. Global currency crisis aka. Lehman 2.0. Investors panic. The Fed goes neutr	1.4×	0	747	144	110
66	May 7, '22	This is the first time the Tech sector has failed at the 200 day moving average since 2008:	1.4×	0	803	167	26
67	Jul 27, '22	The Fed eased too much in 2007 due to the housing crash. Which caused a commodity bubble. In 2008, they got too tight. Which caused the Lehman meltdown. The same comedy of errors t	1.4×	0	723	173	56
68	Oct 30, '22	The fourth short covering rally this year. Nothing more, nothing less. Now Powell has to do what he did very well at his last two speeches (JHole, Sept FOMC) - Pound gamblers back	1.3×	0	818	152	56
69	Jan 2, '22	Millennials have an excuse not to see this coming. No one else has an excuse, unless they claim they are functionally brain dead.	1.3×	0	702	126	78
70	May 22, '22	Bulls, just be honest with yourselves. Your entire investment strategy is based upon BAILOUTS. My advice is to get down on your knees and start praying for what your karma will bri	1.3×	0	754	108	52
71	Oct 18, '22	This is by far the weakest rally of 2022. The oscillator has gained 200 points, the market has gained 4%. Compare to the summer rally when the market had gained 12.5% by the time t	1.3×	0	810	133	54
72	Jul 27, '22	There it is - the biggest Nasdaq up day since March 2020. SOLD.	1.3×	0	818	98	45
73	Mar 16, '22	Bulls, This is your last chance to get in.	1.3×	0	716	88	64
74	Nov 15, '22	Everyone wants to know when or IF this rally will run out of gas. If only there was a pattern to this decline.	1.2×	0	776	116	55
75	Jun 13, '22	This is the worst NYSE daily breadth (advances - declines) in market history:	1.2×	0	644	156	42
76	Apr 24, '22	The party's over. Any questions?	1.2×	0	786	90	31
77	May 21, '22	This is the Nasdaq's worst two quarter performance since 2008. And the REAL tightening is just getting started.	1.2×	0	711	132	32
78	Mar 10, '22	Bulls, this is your FINAL IQ test. Pass or FAIL. Is this a good time to buy "stocks?"	1.2×	0	689	67	38
79	Jan 25, '22	This is a warning as to the gong show that's coming: The largest U.S. ETF flash crashed yesterday, but no one noticed. Too busy telling everyone that rate hikes are bullish for sto	1.2×	0	629	112	34
80	Jul 31, '22	This housing crash is taking place far faster than last time. Monthly supply of new homes is increasing at a much faster rate (bottom pane). In 2007, the Fed was already cutting ra	1.2×	0	673	121	56
81	Jul 11, '22	Move along, nothing to see here:	1.1×	0	622	133	31
82	Nov 23, '22	Bulls, if I am wrong on my year-end meltdown call, I stand to lose credibility. If you are wrong on your year-end meltup call, you stand to lose everything.	1.1×	0	735	109	42
83	Aug 11, '22	A lot of young people are locking in record rents and mortgages at record home prices ahead of global economic depression. Those of us warning about it are the "bad guys". Rent CPI	1.1×	0	654	119	31
84	Oct 14, '22	If you imagined the worst case scenario for global markets, you would never come up with something as dangerous as this... No offense.	1.1×	0	622	138	56
85	Nov 15, '22	Bulls, THIS is your end of year melt-up. Enjoy while it lasts.	1.1×	0	716	102	38
86	Oct 21, '22	The chart of the week:	1.1×	0	670	131	33
87	Aug 3, '22	Bulls, this is the recession confirmation rally. We'll get official recognition once you're officially buried.	1.1×	0	648	92	42
88	Sep 23, '22	Those who would claim the market is oversold and due for a rally, should know that the worst part of the 2020 crash took place AFTER the market was fully oversold. But why check fa	1.1×	0	686	106	39
89	Oct 24, '22	Back to fully overbought.	1.1×	0	742	91	26
90	May 12, '22	The reason why Ark investors keep doubling down is because no one told them that the profitless companies they are buying are totally dependent upon cheap capital. And the infinite	1.1×	0	645	101	33
91	Oct 28, '22	This is the message bulls just sent the Fed: "Thank you sir, may I have another" Today's closing oscillator the second most overbought in life of data (25 yrs). Second only to the	1.1×	0	652	107	39
92	Aug 12, '22	That's the close. The best low volatility illusion money can buy. Best one since last time. TEQUILA!!!	1.0×	0	616	96	39
93	Aug 12, '22	What we are witnessing is volatility expansion. aka. a new bull shit market.	1.0×	0	620	77	35
94	Jun 22, '22	Bulls, you've become far too complacent in the face of collapsed performance.	1.0×	0	644	78	38
95	May 17, '22	Walmart's biggest one day decline in two decades. If only there was a sign human history's biggest consumption binge is over.	1.0×	0	631	94	24
96	Oct 16	The American Dream is now 100% AI generated.	1.0×	3.6k	36	4	1
97	May 10, '22	We are now on the verge of Millennial Margin Call. And uncontrolled market meltdown.	1.0×	0	618	91	28
98	Apr 22, '22	Google just broke to a major new low:	1.0×	0	632	72	10
99	Aug 6, '22	The Fed is panic raising rates at a level of GDP growth that was considered the bottom of recession 20 years ago:	0.9×	0	542	90	33
100	Sep 5, '22	This week is all about Europe. Over the weekend Russia cut off natural gas flow indefinitely. Today, OPEC voted to reduce oil output. Thurs. ECB rate hike w/.75% on the table. Frid	0.4×	0	248	62	8
101	Aug 24, '22	Electricity costs are soaring. "More than 20 million Americans – about 1 in 6 households – are behind on their utility bills" We are told it's because the price of natural gas is s	0.2×	0	128	24	2

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