Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict610k followers

Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.

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1Apr 5, '23I've seen enough: Janet Protasiewicz defeats Daniel Kelly for Wisconsin Supreme Court. The result flips ideological control of the court from conservative to liberal, a huge victor11.3×12.5M46k8.2k302
2Nov 8, '23I've seen enough: in a victory for the pro-choice side, Ohio Issue 1, a measure to establish a right to an abortion in the state constitution, passes.9.1×10.1M36k7.1k292
3Aug 3, '22I've seen enough: in a huge victory for the pro-choice side, the Kansas constitutional amendment to remove protections of abortion rights fails.8.0×0135k18k679
4Aug 8, '23I've seen enough: in a major victory for the pro-choice side, Ohio Issue 1 (a measure to raise the threshold to pass a state constitutional amendment to 60%) fails.7.0×7.7M27k5.6k248
5Jan 6, '21I've seen enough. Jon Ossoff (D) defeats Sen. David Perdue (R) in GA's other Senate runoff. #GASEN Democrats win control of the Senate.6.6×097k17k539
6Nov 8, '23I've seen enough: Andy Beshear (D) wins reelection in #KYGOV, defeating Daniel Cameron (R).6.6×7.3M29k5.1k225
7Jan 6, '21I've seen enough. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) in GA's special Senate runoff. #GASEN6.5×088k17k483
8Sep 1, '22Breaking: Mary Peltola (D) defeats Sarah Palin (R) in the #AKAL special election.5.9×0103k11k286
9Nov 13, '20Biden just became the first presidential candidate in U.S. history to surpass 78 million votes.5.8×0101k9.4k245
10Dec 7, '22I've seen enough: Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Herschel Walker (R) in the #GASEN runoff, giving Democrats a 51-49 majority in the Senate.5.7×089k14k419
11Nov 7, '18Projection: today is the first day in history Americans have elected more than 100 women to the U.S. House of representatives.4.8×070k19k119
12Nov 24, '20BREAKING: Biden/Harris just became the first presidential ticket in history to surpass 80 million votes... Biden 80,033,996 (51.0%) Trump 73,878,907 (47.1%) Prior to 2020, no ticke4.5×074k11k367
13Jun 3, '20I've seen enough. Rep. Steve King (R) has been defeated in #IA04.4.1×071k7.5k124
14Nov 13, '20I've seen enough. We're at a Biden 306-232 Electoral vote margin entering any recounts, and I've never seen a recount overturn leads of the magnitude Biden enjoys in AZ/GA/WI.4.0×073k7.9k287
15Aug 3, '22It's possible the margin for "No" in red Kansas will be a resounding double digits, a sign of just how unpopular overturning Roe v. Wade is nationally.4.0×073k7.8k301
16Jan 6, '21Look guys, I've seen enough. Both Raphael Warnock (D) and Jon Ossoff (D) will win by margins comfortably exceeding GA's 0.5% recount threshold. #GASEN3.8×070k7.5k170
17Nov 11, '22I've seen enough: Sen. Mark Kelly (D) wins reelection in #AZSEN, defeating Blake Masters (R).3.5×061k6.8k248
18Sep 15, '21I've seen enough: the vote to recall CA Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) fails.3.4×058k6.3k189
19Nov 24, '20Maine just reported its military & overseas ballots: Biden 4,599 (80%) Trump 838 (15%) Biden's national popular vote lead climbs to 6.16 million.3.2×055k7k254
20Apr 2, '25I've seen enough: Susan Crawford defeats Brad Schimel in the Wisconsin Supreme Court election, preserving liberals' 4-3 majority.3.0×3.4M27k3.3k474
21Nov 20, '20Breaking: Biden's national popular vote lead just surpassed 6 million... Biden 79,732,083 (51.0%) Trump 73,731,087 (47.2%) Biden/Harris have now won 10 million more votes than any 2.9×049k7.4k183
22Nov 8, '23I've seen enough: Democrats win control of the Virginia House of Delegates, flipping the GOP majority and giving them control of both chambers.2.9×3.2M25k3.5k179
23Dec 3, '20BREAKING: Biden's national popular vote lead just surpassed 7 million (4.5%)... Biden 81,264,673 (51.3%) Trump 74,210,838 (46.9%)2.9×047k6.9k240
24Nov 8, '23I've seen enough: Democrats retain control of the Virginia Senate, blocking a trifecta for Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R).2.9×3.2M25k3.4k134
25Nov 17, '20It's time to start calling baseless conspiracies what they are: libelous attacks on the 500,000+ heroic poll workers & election administrators in every corner of the U.S. who p2.8×046k7.9k195
26May 18, '22I've seen enough: Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R) has lost renomination to state Sen. Chuck Edwards (R) in the #NC11 GOP primary.2.7×042k4.6k180
27Sep 2, '20I've seen enough: Sen. Ed Markey (D) has defeated Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D) in the #MASEN Democratic primary.2.7×041k5.7k130
28Jan 11, '21True story: the day before the election, House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy told me that if Trump refused to concede, he and McConnell would eventually have to come out and issue a jo2.6×042k8k301
29Nov 7, '20BREAKING: the @NBCNews Decision Desk has seen enough. Joe Biden wins Pennsylvania and the White House, defeating President Donald Trump.2.4×037k6.7k147
30Oct 6, '20At the moment, Biden is teaching a master class on letting your opponent's candidacy self-destruct.2.4×045k4.6k112
31Nov 6, '19I've seen enough. Projection: Andy Beshear (D) has defeated Gov. Matt Bevin (R) in #KYGOV.2.4×035k5.7k61
32Jan 7, '21At the end of the day, House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy voted to object to both AZ and PA's electors after acknowledging multiple times to me there was no doubt as to Biden's victor2.3×037k7k197
33Oct 20, '20More people have now early voted in TX than the number of people who voted for Donald Trump in TX in 2016.2.3×039k6k129
34Nov 11, '20Biden just crossed 10 million votes in CA, becoming the first presidential candidate ever to hit eight figures in any state.2.3×040k5.6k165
35Nov 17, '20Breaking: Philadelphia just reported almost 8k newly counted ballots... Biden 6,628 (85%) Trump 1,140 (14%) Biden's statewide PA lead now up to 72,379 votes (1.1%), more than doubl2.2×037k4.9k123
36Aug 24, '22I've seen enough: Pat Ryan (D) defeats Marc Molinaro (R) in the #NY19 special election. This is a huge victory for Dems in a bellwether, Biden +1.5 district.2.1×038k4.4k145
37Nov 13, '20New: Philadelphia just reported 4.4k newly counted ballots... Biden 4,056 (91%) Trump 342 (8%) Biden's statewide PA lead just surpassed 60k.2.1×039k4.2k97
38Jan 6, '21Here's the story right now: 1. Black turnout looks, frankly, phenomenal. 2. Perdue/Loeffler are approaching Trump %s of the vote in a lot of deep red rural counties, but turnout th2.1×036k4.6k220
39Nov 3, '21Needless to say, tonight's results are consistent w/ a political environment in which Republicans would comfortably take back both the House and Senate in 2022.2.1×035k4.7k265
40Nov 3, '21I've seen enough: Glenn Youngkin (R) defeats Terry McAuliffe (D) in the Virginia governor's race. #VAGOV2.0×021k5.7k242
41Nov 13, '20Look guys, I’ve seen enough. Putting “disputed” tags on blatant disinformation is woefully insufficient right now.1.9×037k3.3k86
42Nov 10, '22After last night's NV mail ballot trend, excellent chance now that Dems will have 50 Senate seats/control in hand heading into the GA runoff.1.9×035k3.4k238
43Dec 1, '20Breaking: Biden/Harris just became the first presidential ticket in U.S. history to surpass 81 million votes.1.8×034k3.5k72
44Nov 12, '20I've seen enough. No path back for Trump in AZ.1.8×031k4k109
45Jul 1, '20Fact: when President Trump took office in January 2017, there were 241 Republicans in the House. Since then, 115 (48%) have either retired, resigned, been defeated or are retiring 1.8×028k5.8k242
46Nov 11, '20Breaking: Biden's popular vote lead just crossed 5 million (3.3%).1.8×031k4.2k78
47Nov 8, '17BREAKING: Danica Roem (D) has defeated 26-year Del. Bob Marshall (R) in #HD13, becoming the first transgender person elected to VA's state legislature.1.8×022k7.7k0
48Oct 30, '20Breaking: Texas just surpassed its 2016 total votes cast w/ one day of early voting & Election Day left to go. The state is reporting 9,009,850 votes already cast, vs. the all-1.7×026k4.8k114
49Nov 18, '20Fact: Biden's current margin of victory in Michigan is more than 13 times Trump's margin of victory there in 2016.1.7×032k3.4k109
50Nov 17, '22I've seen enough: Rep. Mary Peltola (D) wins reelection in #AKAL, defeating Sarah Palin (R) and Nick Begich (R).1.6×031k2.6k67
51Jun 24, '20I've seen enough: Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) defeats Michelle Caruso-Cabrera (D) in the #NY14 primary.1.6×031k2.2k44
52Nov 19, '20Breaking: the U.S. just surpassed a record-shattering *156 million* votes counted... Biden 79,535,824 (51.0%) Trump 73,616,203 (47.2%) Biden's popular vote lead is up to 5.9 millio1.6×027k4k126
53Dec 1, '20Breaking: Donald Trump's share of the U.S. vote just fell to 46.9%. He's now failed to crack 47% in either of his runs for president (for perspective, Mitt Romney got 47.2% in 20121.6×026k4.2k179
54Sep 1, '22The amount of land mass represented by House Democrats just went up by 104%. #AKAL1.6×031k2.3k137
55Nov 14, '22Extremely tough to see how Kari Lake (R) wins now. #AZGOV1.5×028k2.4k98
56Mar 26, '21If past is prologue, Georgia Republicans just handed Democrats their best turnout tool for 2022 & beyond.1.5×028k3.3k89
57Oct 26, '20This is some cold truth from @AOC. If NYC were in a swing state, its election administration would be a national outrage.1.5×026k3.5k472
58Jan 6, '21Tiny, rural Randolph Co., GA (59% Black) is at *97%* of its November turnout. It's going for Warnock by 13.2 pts and Ossoff by 12.8 after going for Biden by 9.2 pts in November. Th1.5×029k2.6k133
59May 21, '21I’ve seen enough: taking a politics break for a while.1.5×033k41548
60Nov 15, '20In 2016, Trump won Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (and the presidency) by a combined 77,744 votes. Right now, Biden is ahead in those three states by three times that margin 1.5×026k3.7k213
61Jan 10, '21If you don't think Donald Trump could reemerge as a formidable candidate for the presidency in four years, you haven't been watching the last four+ years.1.5×027k2.8k105
62Jan 6, '21Warnock's victory is pretty clearly going to wind up outside of Georgia's 0.5% recount threshold. #GASEN1.5×030k2k43
63Nov 12, '22New: #CA47 Rep. Katie Porter's (D) lead over Scott Baugh (R) just expanded to 4,555 votes (2.3%). This one's not trending in the right direction for Republicans.1.5×029k2.3k54
64Nov 17, '22I've seen enough: Rep. Katie Porter (D) wins reelection in #CA47, defeating Scott Baugh (R).1.4×028k1.8k43
65Jun 15, '22I've seen enough: Mayra Flores (R) defeats Dan Sanchez (D) in the #TX34 special election, flipping an 84% Hispanic Rio Grande Valley seat red.1.4×022k3.2k198
66May 18, '22I've seen enough: Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) defeats Rep. Conor Lamb (D) in the #PASEN Dem primary.1.4×023k2.2k98
67Mar 18, '20I've seen enough: progressive Marie Newman (D) defeats pro-life, eight-term Rep. Dan Lipinski (D) in #IL03.1.3×022k2.7k62
68Nov 15, '18It's now virtually certain that Orange County, CA will be represented by zero Republicans in Congress in 2019. And, all of NJ will have only one.1.3×022k3.7k34
69Jan 6, '21Bottom line so far: I think Republicans have a turnout problem.1.3×024k1.6k100
70Jun 24, '20I’ve seen enough: Jamaal Bowman (D) has defeated 16-term Rep. Eliot Engel (D) in the #NY16 primary.1.3×024k2.3k57
71Nov 4, '20So two things: 1) Biden is well on his way to flipping MI & WI (in addition to AZ & #NE02) and is doing well enough in PA's completed counties to be on track to win there 21.3×020k3.4k213
72Jan 12, '21When a source lies to you, they don’t deserve anonymity.1.3×026k1.8k62
73Jun 23, '21I've seen enough: Andrew Yang will not be the next mayor of NYC.1.3×023k1.5k114
74Nov 18, '20Breaking: Philadelphia just finished counting what might be one of its final batches of votes... Biden 10,170 (86%) Trump 1,540 (13%) Biden's statewide PA lead climbs to 81,597 (1.1.2×021k3.1k75
75Nov 9, '22Republicans wouldn’t be slight favorites to win House control right now if they hadn’t been able to gerrymander far more states than Dems. And, Dems wouldn’t hold the slight majori1.2×019k3.8k291
76Nov 6, '19Winning a gubernatorial race in a state Trump won by 30% would have to be considered a pretty terrific night for Dems so far. #KYGOV1.2×021k2.9k30
77Nov 12, '18Projection: Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) has defeated Rep. Martha McSally (R) in #AZSEN. This thing has been over for a while.1.2×018k3.8k25
78Nov 14, '20New: Philadelphia posts newly counted ballots (that I think are the first of the provisionals to be counted??)... Biden 3,728 (79%) Trump 927 (20%) Biden's statewide PA lead just s1.2×021k2.5k56
79Jan 7, '21Breaking: Kelly Loeffler rescinding her objection to certification of electors. Wow.1.2×021k1.8k95
80Oct 25, '20Breathtaking: statewide, Texas just surpassed 80% of its total 2016 votes cast, leading the nation. And there's still more than a week of voting to go.1.2×018k3.2k87
81Jan 6, '21The first heavily Dem rural county, Macon Co., is fully reporting: Ossoff: +25.0 Warnock: +25.6 Biden (Nov.): +21.3 And turnout is at 91.8% of November levels. Possibly the single 1.1×021k2.4k89
82Nov 18, '20Update: as more Michigan counties have certified and reported to the Secretary of State, Biden's margin of victory (154,187) is now more than 14 times Trump's 2016 margin there (101.1×020k2.7k57
83Nov 13, '22I've seen enough: Rep. Mike Levin (D) wins reelection in #CA49, defeating Brian Maryott (R).1.1×022k1.8k38
84Nov 20, '20The Georgia hand count audit is complete and @GaSecofState is set to certify the 2020 result as: Biden 2,475,141 (49.5%) Trump 2,462,857 (49.3%) Biden wins Georgia's (16 EVs) by 121.1×019k2.5k56
85Mar 11, '20When you're losing the African-American vote by 71% in any state, you're...not competitive in a Democratic primary.1.1×018k3.2k77
86Oct 2, '20That Biden is delivering his entire speech in Grand Rapids with a mask on speaks volumes more than any remarks he's delivering, and he knows it.1.1×020k2.4k45
87Nov 8, '20New: Biden’s GA lead has climbed past 10k w/ assorted county updates.1.1×021k1.8k27
88Nov 14, '22I've seen enough: Andrea Salinas (D) defeats Mike Erickson (R) in #OR06. A critical Dem pickup in Oregon's newly added seat.1.1×021k1.9k48
89Jun 2, '21I've seen enough: Melanie Stansbury (D) defeats Mark Moores (R) in #NM01 special election to fill the unexpired term of Deb Haaland (D).1.1×021k1.8k29
90Aug 5, '20I've seen enough: Missouri voters narrowly pass constitutional Amendment 2 to expand Medicaid.1.1×020k2k37
91Nov 21, '20Breaking: the Biden/Harris '20 ticket's popular vote margin (3.8627 points) just surpassed the Obama/Biden '12 ticket's popular vote margin (3.8597 points). It's now the second lar1.1×019k2.4k82
92Jan 6, '21Democrats are the favorites in the Ossoff/Perdue race as well, which means they're currently favored for Senate control. Still a ways to go there. #GASEN1.0×019k2k42
93Nov 6, '21I've seen enough: the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill passes the House and heads to President Biden's desk.1.0×019k1.8k54
94Jan 6, '21Perdue's narrower defeat is especially bitter for Republicans, considering that runoff was for a six-year term, whereas Warnock will need to run again in 2022. #GASEN1.0×019k1.7k87
95Nov 17, '20Breaking: the U.S. just surpassed *155 million* votes counted and Biden's popular vote lead is up to 5.68 million (3.7%).1.0×019k1.9k53
96Nov 13, '22With #WA03 and #CA49 in the books and Reps. Mary Peltola (D) and Katie Porter (D) in strong position, 2023 is likely to be the first time Republicans are shut out of every district1.0×018k2k127
97Jan 6, '21I understand the desire to wait until every vote is reported, but these aren't "nail biters" or "dead heats." #GASEN1.0×019k1.6k49
98Nov 12, '22I've seen enough: Rep. Jim Costa (D) wins reelection in #CA21, defeating Michael Maher (R).1.0×020k1.4k39
99Nov 11, '22I've seen enough: Rep. Greg Stanton (D) wins reelection in #AZ04, defeating Kelly Cooper (R).1.0×019k1.5k39
100Jan 1, '212020: I’ve seen enough1.0×019k1.2k39

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