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Rashid Abdi

@RAbdiAnalyst489k followers

Researcher/Analyst, Horn of Africa, Middle East. Defence, Security, Politics, Major Power Competition, Strategy, Forecasting, Humour, Cuban Cigars. Views mine

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1Oct 15, '24In the end, Hanifa was forced to delete her Twitter X account not because of action by a 'repressive' state but because of toxic hate from fanatical Muslims incensed by her dressin5.5×417k2.2k453126
2Oct 31, '20Afewerki & Abiy actively considering military action to settle dispute with Tigrai. They are deaf to calls for dialogue, de-escalation. A war is coming. Eritrean troops making 5.3×03.7k2.5k96
3Sep 15, '22Time to think the unthinkable. *Declare no fly zone over Tigray *Air drop food and medicine into Tigray *Call for UNSC authorisation to reroute aid meant for Tigray via Port Sudan 3.8×02.4k2.6k14
4Sep 10, '22Happy New year to the people of Tigray, the government of Tigray and the gallant warriors of Tigray. May the next year bring you peace and ease from suffering.3.6×03.4k1.9k7
5Sep 13, '22A day after Tigray offered truce, compromised on its key legitimate demands after pressure from US, Abiy sent a drone to bomb a university campus compound in Mekelle.3.3×01.8k2.6k3
6Sep 28, '22Eritrean long-range artillery (supplied by Russia) and Ethiopia Sukhoi fighter jets conduct intense bombardment of frontline towns in Tigray.3.1×01.5k2.6k8
7Jul 3, '21Best wishes to my darling daughter Nasimah Rashid who weds this morning. Best wishes to her and her husband.2.9×05.3k2178
8Sep 29, '22Lifting siege on Tigray in totality is not precondition. It is a fundamental right. Tigray is not an independent state. It is still part of Ethiopia. Imposing a siege on a specific2.8×01.9k2.2k5
9Mar 9, '21We are all Tigray2.8×03k1.4k5
10Sep 20, '22#BREAKING ERITREA LAUNCHES MASSIVE FULL-SCALE OFFENSIVE ON TIGRAY ON FULL LENGTH OF BORDER2.7×01.5k2k15
11Oct 2, '22Tigray is longest Internet shutdown in human history. 6 million cut off from world. US, this month, deployed system to help millions of Iranians to bypass regime shutdown, get Inte2.7×01.9k2k9
12Sep 13, '22At the request of US, Tigrayan forces stopped march on Addis, withdrew from Amhara and Afar, engaged in secret talks with Addis, was attacked on six fronts by Ethiopian, Eritrean f2.7×02k1.8k7
13Jan 15, '227 million people locked up in world's most brutal siege, living in daily terror of marauding drones, antonov bombers, cut off from world for 14 months, no power, health services, b2.6×01.7k1.7k9
14Sep 15, '22How do you cope with all the hate, people ask me often. My reply: I focus on my love for the downtrodden and marginalised people of Tigray and their well-being.2.6×02.4k1.3k6
15Sep 15, '22Just two days after outbreak of hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia powerful members of UN call for UNSC meeting to push for speedy ceasefire. Supporters of peace in Tigray 2.5×01.5k1.6k4
16Oct 23, '21Tigrayans are the hardiest people in the world. Proud and unbendable. Unspeakable crimes have been committed against them. The world abandoned them. They will pull through this dar2.5×02.5k1.3k15
17Sep 7, '22Allowing Eritrea to seize Tigray again will be disastrous. It will be climax of a genocidal project. We have a Rwanda unfolding right before our eyes.2.5×01.6k1.8k6
18Jul 1, '19My father served in Kenyan security forces for 40 yrs - at senior levels. My sis first police woman in northern Kenya. As a family we as Kenyan as anyone can get. Yet my daughter i2.5×02.5k1.3k13
19Jul 24, '21Tigrayans are the only people who repulsed a genocidal war and won - resoundingly. Without any help from the world. They refused to be victims of genocide. They opted to die collec2.4×02.5k1.3k23
20Nov 2, '21Dear World. I have just been woken up from sleep by alarming reports from Addis. Abiy using SoE to round up all Tigrayans. He intends to use them as human shield, bargaining chip t2.4×01.7k1.5k18
21Aug 15, '21I am back2.4×03k3792
22Feb 9Mogadishu's favourite talking point is that Somaliland is Isaq dominated and a single clan cannot become a nation-state. Reality is that Somaliland is a multi-clan state and has hi2.4×182k81827181
23Mar 20, '22Tigray has survived a brutal siege for 15 months not because it got help but because of Tigrayan people's remarkable stoicism, culture of sharing the little they have, mutual solid2.3×01.8k1.7k4
24Jul 27, '21Nasimah looking wonderful. Me, looking clumsy.2.3×04.4k16017
25Oct 19, '22Tigray bends but never breaks2.3×02.3k1.2k5
26Aug 7, '21I regret to announce I will be deactivating my Twitter account because of: *Proliferation of fake accounts impersonating me *Relentless, organised hate campaign *Failure to obtain 2.2×01.7k41619
27Mar 30, '22TDF stopped taking Addis because of international pressure. TDF pulled out of Amhara, parts of Afar in response to US, Kenya, AU pressure. In return, Tigray got nothing. Not 1 conc2.2×01.7k1.5k9
28Sep 10, '22Eritrea cannot leave Tigray because world is calling it to do so. Eritrea must be compelled to. It must be made to feel full cost & pain of its misadventure in Ethiopia. If you2.2×01.8k1.4k10
29Aug 27, '22Tigrayans have learnt hard and bitter lessons the last two years. They have no Western state allies. No Eastern state allies. No African state allies. They are pretty much on their2.1×01.9k1.3k9
30Feb 19, '22Tigray rebuilt modern Ethiopia. Tigrayan blood and sweat helped forge Ethiopia into economic, military, diplomatic powerhouse. That Ethiopia would turn on those who led struggle to2.1×02k1.2k6
31Jul 18, '21By calling his political opponents "invasive weed" PM Abiy has crossed the red line. That is the language out of which genocide is made.2.0×01.8k1.3k6
32Apr 6, '22Tigray does not have a Zelensky but if it did this is what it would tell parliaments of the world. Tigray world's worst conflict today. Tigrayans face mass starvation, ethnic clean2.0×01.6k1.4k10
33Dec 11, '21Tigrayans live under total siege, denied food, subject to mass starvation, mass profiling, mass demonization, mass internment, mass sexual violence. Lives, livelihoods destroyed, T2.0×01.5k1.2k12
34Dec 24, '21Nothing changes in Ethiopia unless Tigray blockade is completely lifted, Eritrea compelled to stop meddling, humanitarian access fully restored. The momentum that now exists has a 2.0×01.6k1.2k2
35Jan 5, '22Tigray today.2.0×01.3k1.2k3
36Sep 4, '22Ethiopian army has collapsed at a speed that is even astonishing for me. Thousands surrendering to TDF on multiple fronts. Some surrendering to Sudanese forces. But then, who could2.0×01.7k1.1k16
37Oct 8, '21#BREAKING PM Abiy has launched his big offensive against Tigray today. He will lose again - in the end.1.9×01.9k1k7
38Mar 22, '21BREAKING: Have learnt from multiple credible sources Western governments will impose sanctions on Eritrea targeting key regime figures involved in the Tigray war. Wonderful news. C1.9×01.9k1k11
39Dec 25, '21Lord of mercy, on this Christmas Day, look to the people of Tigray with extra compassion. Bring peace, joy and hope to this grieving land. Restore amity, tolerance and peaceful coe1.9×02.1k8675
40Aug 6, '22Tigray cannot take part in any negotiation unless siege lifted - not in stages but in total. The siege is criminal, it is unethical. You cannot blindfold Tigray, tie its hands behi1.9×01.5k1.2k8
41Jun 4, '216 months ago I and a few others decided to tell the truth about Tigray. We were called TPLF agents, keyboard warriors, charlatans, liars, etc We did that not because we were superi1.8×02k8576
42Aug 3, '21Silence of world on Abiy's genocidal campaign in Tigray is gut wrenching and criminal. World's callousness, silence, obfuscation, complacency, disinterest, spinelessness is abettin1.8×01.4k1.2k5
43Oct 24, '22#BREAKING Tigray's negotiators to the South African talks Gen Tsadkan Gebretensae and Getachew Reda have arrived in Johannesburg. US and South Africa have guaranteed their safety a1.8×01.6k1.1k13
44Dec 27, '21Abiy claims he is not sending troops into Tigray. And then he goes ahead and escalates indiscriminate aerial attacks using Turkish-supplied drones - using the Christmas break windo1.8×01.4k1.2k8
45Jan 31, '21You heard it exclusive from me: @JoeBiden admin to demand following from PM Abiy: *immediate halt to Tigray war *complete, verifiable pullout of Eritrea *full, unfettered access fo1.8×01.7k89913
46Sep 9, '22Ethiopian and Eritrean offensive on Tigray has made no headway. TDF holding its ground in all sectors. "We are doing very well on multiple fronts," - TDF general1.8×01.7k9704
47Sep 12, '22They have come up with another dumbass slogan - "disarm TPLF". Who will do it? The US Navy Seals? Because ENDF is broken, Fano is roasting flesh somewhere in Oromia, and Eritreans 1.8×01.7k9976
48Sep 4, '22Irony is dead in Ethiopia. Addis wants to open up banking sector to foreigners but has kept its own citizens in Tigray without banking for two years.1.8×01.5k1.2k2
49Dec 29, '21Ethiopia is a failed state and here is why: *No standing army. Only ethnic militias *Eritrea integrated into Ethiopian state's security structure. *Afewerki has established direct 1.8×01.4k92518
50Oct 1, '21Each day PM Abiy takes another step to become Afewerki. Each day Ethiopia inches towards becoming another Eritrea. That is very sad.1.8×01.8k9093
51Oct 13, '22Tigrayans call me "uncle". I believe it was first coined by @selamina_a In Somali culture, to be called "uncle" (abti) is a weighty matter. Uncle is expected to give you succour, s1.7×02k6658
52May 3, '23Inshallah hopefully soon I will be able to visit Tigray and fulfil my vow to pray two rakat at the historic Al-Najashi Masjid. Bless Ethiopia. Bless Tigray. May the green shoots of1.7×129k1.7k25011
53Sep 7, '22Sadly, I see no humility or magnanimity in victory in Kenya, only ugly triumphalism. Viciously trolling an old man and disparaging his life and service for this country is despicab1.7×02.6k52215
54Jul 31, '21Ethiopian sources confirm Lalibela, historic city in Wollo, Amhara State, has been seized by TDF. Ethnic militias sent to stop TDF advance badly beaten, forced to retreat. TDF said1.6×01.5k72512
55Nov 14, '21After weeks of intense fighting Mille has fallen to the TDF according to multiple sources. Mille is in Afar State and straddles the Addis-Djibouti highway. This effectively cuts of1.6×01.6k7415
56Aug 7, '21I admire Tigrayans, walahi. Here they are besieged, starved, disconnected from world, hemmed in by vicious armies on all fronts yet they carry themselves with humanity, display rar1.6×01.7k8349
57Oct 24, '21Tigray - starved and under siege - keeps winning battles, but willing to engage in dialogue, wants peace. Abiy - goaded by extremists - resisting all calls to dialogue, says war mu1.6×01.5k9699
58Apr 17, '21Eritrea will not withdraw from Tigray unless world acts in concert and puts a hefty price. Simple. You are dealing with a ruthless and hardened regime used to blackmail and lies to1.6×01.4k1k3
59Sep 14, '22He speaks calmly. Matter-of-fact. No lofty rhetoric. No bravado. No exaggerations. No lies. But steel in his tone unmistakable. When he says we have defeated enemy on multiple fron1.6×01.5k9116
60Sep 28, '22#BREAKING Tigray government says 5 Eritrean mechanised army divisions neutralised on Berhale front (Afar) by TDF1.5×01.5k8817
61Sep 18, '21All African states must collectively stand up for @DrTedros to win a second @WHO term. He has done remarkably well under exceptionally difficult personal and global circumstances.1.5×01.6k8751
62Aug 4, '20Chinese ambassador to Somalia went to Somaliland to meet Prez Bihi. As soon as he started putting on the "warrior diplomacy" act & threatening Somaliland, Bihi stood up and gav1.5×01.7k60279
63Jul 22, '21Worth remembering Abiy jailed, betrayed all prominent Oromo leaders who stood by him. These included men who trusted him and even sacrificed their ambitions to advance his. He dest1.5×01.6k7758
64Oct 7, '21Many thanks to @TwitterSupport @premiumbusiness for getting me verified. Appreciate support and encouragement from my Twitter family. Renew my commitment to responsible, fair repor1.5×02.1k2803
65Oct 15, '24Kenya is a proud secular constitutional state. Not a Taleban state. The burgeoning culture of aggressive hijab policing on social media is deeply disturbing. Subjecting young Musli1.5×111k2.1k57555
66Oct 30, '21#BREAKING TDF has seized control of Dessie, strategic industrial city north of Addis, the gateway to Addis. Big blow to Abiy. He won't recover from this.1.5×01.7k6885
67Mar 7, '21A war is coming between Ethiopia and Sudan. Eritrea and Egypt almost certain to join in. Ethiopia massing troops and hardware. Conflict likely before July. I know I have been alarm1.5×01.4k73957
68Jun 12, '21I grieve for Tigray because it is alone. The world dithers, still debating nuance and semantics of famine. African long turned its back. It is not even in the debate. Shame on Afri1.4×01.5k8256
69Nov 19, '21The horror of Tigray will haunt us forever - those who looked away; those who abetted it; those who acquiesced in it; those who downplayed it. We are not helpless bystanders. We al1.4×01.5k88512
70Jul 20, '21TDF seeking to control road and rail link to Djibouti. A brilliant military maneuver. "If Ethiopia wants to choke us, we choke Ethiopia". TDF can also draw on the support of the Af1.4×01.6k69812
71Jul 4, '21Proud moment for me as father and the whole clan yesterday. A treasured image of the bride resplendent in her wedding gown.1.4×02.5k1073
72Dec 19, '21And my African Ubuntu Prize for 2021 winner is: Dr Tewodros Tefera, refugee, doctor, Tigrayan. He witnessed war. Overcame trauma. Bravely spoke out. Now treats and attend to his ow1.4×01.4k8336
73Dec 2, '21TDF is making tactical "territorial adjustments" according to its generals. Every army does that. As usual, Abiy is eager to claim a non-existent victory. I am almost certain Abiy'1.4×01.5k56616
74May 9, '21I cannot say Happy Mother's Day to the mothers of Tigray who have endured hell on earth last six months. All I can say is: Hang in there.1.4×01.7k6652
75Aug 6, '21Major development in Ethiopia: Tigray leadership reaching out to all political factions in Ethiopia, offering grand coalition to bring down Abiy government through concerted milita1.4×01.4k65220
76Nov 1, '21TDF fought a clean military campaign in an exceptionally vicious and dirty genocidal war. History will remember that.1.4×01.6k6707
77Oct 31, '22Amazing picture from Brazil of Lula win.1.4×02.1k46025
78Mar 19, '23Best wishes to my brother @reda_getachew as he takes over leadership of Tigray. Difficult days ahead, no doubt, but the worst is over. Time to heal and rebuild.1.4×103k1.5k4825
79Jul 10, '21I make no apologies for speaking up for Tigrayans, victims of a genocidal war. And I am happy they beat back the invaders and taught them unforgettable lessons If that goes against1.4×01.7k5749
80Sep 22, '21People in my community ask me all the time why I care so much for "Christians in Tigray". I hope following answer stops this nonsense: I see no contradiction in being a Muslim and 1.3×01.7k4864
81Aug 25, '21People ask me all the time why I am not fearful, why I like antagonising powerful elites and why I should not "eat" quietly. Simple: My life is in Allah's hands. I die day he decid1.3×01.8k4235
82Jan 1, '22I hope 2022 will bring respite, hope and peace for the people of Tigray and Oromia who have been through so much.1.3×01.6k5562
83Jan 15, '21Tigray is the most unjust and criminal war in Horn's recent history. It has laid waste to heartrendingly beautiful land and people. Abiy will forever be known as the Butcher of Mek1.3×01.4k5508
84Jun 27, '21Addis launches fierce aerial bombardments in Tigray to halt TDF advance. ENDF beaten badly in recent battles. Tide shifting in favour of Tigrayan forces. They have huge morale. It 1.3×01.4k6746
85Feb 24, '21Tigray is not starving. It is being starved. Good to remember that when we disembowel words of meaning.1.3×01.3k6925
86Sep 25, '21Am very proud to learn that my homeland, Kenya, has become the first African state to endorse our great Africa son @DrTedros for a second term as head of @WHO Smart move, Kenya.1.3×01.7k5262
87Dec 23, '21God help Tigray. So far from international help, so close to Abiy.1.2×01.4k5366
88Sep 6, '22ENDF has reached Mekelle. As 000s of POWs.1.2×01.4k4479
89Jul 24, '21Am in my 60s, I cannot carry a gun. My role is to inspire youth, explain situation and guide them. Paraphrase of quote by Mulugeta Gebrehiwot, Tigrayan intellectual to BBC radio. T1.2×01.4k6155
90Oct 23, '21Mekelle will survive Abiy's Blitz. And will prevail.1.2×01.6k5213
91Jun 30, '21TDF was fighting for survival, ENDF for control. That makes all the difference.1.2×01.6k5336
92Mar 2, '21Many people wonder why I am so exercised with the tragedy in Tigray and the mess in Ethiopia. Why no just sip cappuccino and fill out the crosswords puzzle, they say. The answer is1.2×01.6k3934
93Jan 25, '22The apple of my eye Fatma just marked two years in college taking political science and she is doing exceptionally well. Proud of her. All praise be to Allah.1.1×02k10412
94May 18, '22I met my friend and Ethiopian opposition leader Obbo @Jawar_Mohammed in Nairobi. Sharp, articulate, keen to be peacemaker, reconciler and leader. "Our elders told me to convey to y1.1×01.6k3237
95Jan 26, '22Efforts by Ethiopia to lobby states, defame @DrTedros have only made him stronger. He now gets another term to run @WHO Well-done and best wishes @DrTedros1.0×01.4k4592
96May 28, '23Erdogan victory received with great cheer in Somalia. In Somalia, Turkey is regarded as real "friend" and "brother"1.0×76k2.9k2211
97May 15, '22Somalia today offered a lesson in how to get rid of a dictatorship bloodlessly. Well-done1.0×01.5k3293
98Nov 4, '21Daily insults from Amhara extremists makes my skin glow with health.0.9×01.5k2327
99Jul 31, '21I blocked 100 useless pests and irritants today. A record. I feel empowered.0.9×01.6k1471

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