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The Factor Report

@PeterLBrandt1.3M followers

Premier site for classical chart analysis of futures markets. Trader for five decades. Market Wizard. Author. Membership Factor Report

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1Dec 16, '22Please all be aware that Bitcoin $BTC is developing the infamous "three blind mice" chart construction.8.7×2.4M4.4k495252
2Sep 21, '23My goal is to help members understand the process of market speculation + challenges to overcome to be successful. For details on The Factor visit / Bitcoin Live visit5.2×1.5M1.4k445164
3Jun 22, '19Bitcoin takes aim at $100,000 target. $btcusd is experiencing its fourth parabolic phase dating back to 2010. No other market in my 45 years of trading has gone parabolic on a log 5.1×011k3.4k431
4Feb 16, '21Big picture $BTC Bitcoin is undergoing its third parabolic advance in the past decade. A parabolic advance on an arithmetic scale is extremely rare - three on a log scale is histor4.5×010k2.3k647
5Dec 7, '24This the most powerful chart in all of crypto world $XRPUSD4.3×1.2M6.8k1.2k703
6Mar 7, '21Full disclosure -I am NOT a $BTC maximalist -In 46 yrs trading, I've never seen a more exciting market with a similar narrative 3. My largest current single non-real estate holding3.9×09.4k1.7k546
7Apr 18, '25The Red Dots are where I think we end the year in 2025 S&Ps, then Yen, then 10-Yr Bonds⬇️⬇️3.3×945k3k3301.7k
8Jan 30, '22I find it fascinating that many (not all) on social media who wore laser eyes in Mar/Apr and predicted a rocket shot 🚀for $BTC in Nov now are predicting that the $30k level will b3.1×08.6k1k174
9Apr 5, '19Either from Dec '18 low or from retest of same (circa analog dbl bottom in 2015) it would not surprise me if $BTC enters a new parabolic phase. $btcusd3.1×06.5k1.9k121
10Nov 19, '22This is the type of news that comes at or near a major market bottom $BTC $ETH3.0×07.7k1.3k238
11Jan 15, '23Any idiot can make wild guesses about markets, so here is my dunce-hat prediction. In reality, nobody has a clue what any given market will do. $BTC2.8×793k3.3k574310
12Sep 15, '21I sincerely apologize for any disrespect shown to those who climbed aboard the alt-coin train early and have the gains to show for it. Congrats on a job really well done. You exemp2.7×08.3k54580
13Feb 3, '18Millennials embrace $BTC et al, in part, as reaction to $217 Tril of global debt and massive wealth inequality forced upon them by Gen X and B-Boomer parents and grandparents. Cryp2.7×05.7k2k1
14Feb 9, '21Stages of a Bubble as seen by a 45 year trading veteran Stage 1. A neighbor asks me what I know about $BTC Stage 2. A friend ask if $BTC is a good buy Stage 3. A relative asks if h2.4×06.6k763176
15Apr 8, '25I will post this chart maybe only once. Then you make up your own mind 1929 top - 25 yrs until meaningful new highs 1966 top - 17 yrs (ditto) 2000 top - 13 yrs (ditto) 2024 top - w2.4×689k3.1k5641.9k
16Oct 20, '21For the record, I completely understand how ppl feel disenfranchised by the Upper 1% ers, the Fed, government, Wall Street, banks, et al. I get it. And, I completely understand how2.4×07.8k55434
17Feb 27, '24Bitcoin Update With the thrust above the upper boundary of the 15-month channel, the target for the current bull market cycle scheduled to end in Aug/Sep 2025 is being raised from 2.2×625k3k543826
18May 3, '24Bitcoin -- the trade of a lifetime There has never been and never again will be another asset like Bitcoin $BTC Here is the perspective from my 50-year career as a professional tra2.2×612k4.2k7321.1k
19Jul 29, '20Two interesting things happened to me today. Got a haircut. Barber told me to buy Gold -- said the Fed is printing too much money. Got a tire fixed. Owner of shop told me to buy Si2.1×05.7k59559
20Feb 28, '24On a personal note, I want to be a good sport. Congratulations to all who are fully engaged in Bitcoin $BTC and other coins and see them as the bottom layer of the world's future m2.1×589k6.8k782310
21Feb 12, '20I have made my living since 1975 trading futures markets using charts My conclusion on chart trading: 1. Charts do NOT predict prices 2. Most chart patterns fail 3. Charts simply t2.0×04.7k944358
22Jan 7, '21Bitcoin $BTC is redefining the concept of "overbought." Bull markets become and remain overbought. Major bull markets become overbought majorly. Historic bull markets become histor2.0×04.5k926423
23Jan 12, '25An Olive Branch to $XRP holders Accept it if you will, reject it if you must, but I offer it with good intent Over the years I have taken some hard shots at you and your $XRP asset2.0×560k3.1k323212
24Mar 19, '20Realities of a trader 1. Losing money makes us feel inadequate 2. Making money (but never enough) makes us feel inadequate 3. Being on the sidelines makes us feel inadequate A purp1.9×05.2k745195
25May 2, '19The last time Factor's benchmark weekly MA was in the current profile of turning from down to up was in Nov 2015 just as $BTC began its move from $340 to $19,800.1.9×04.2k1.3k94
26Oct 22, '24The most anticipated and hoped-for breakout in history!! $BTC so, what does that tell you1.9×541k2.8k196166
28Apr 30, '22The completion of a bear channel typically results in a decline equal to the width of the channel, or in this case a hard test of 32,000 or so -- my guess is 28,000 This does NOT m1.9×04.8k594204
29Nov 15, '21I'm taking a break from Tweeting about cryptos $BTC Will focus comments on such markets as T-Notes, Wheat, Silver, equities It's time for me to spend more time in an audience with 1.9×05.4k12034
30Jun 19, '19People ask me why I trade Bitcoin $BTC Ask no more! In my 45-year trading career there has never been another market like Bitcoin.1.9×04.3k1.1k121
31Nov 26, '17Wow!!! $BTC challenging upper resistance line of parabolic advance. This is biggest bull market of my 43 years of as a trader.1.8×03.7k1.5k3
32Nov 25, '18$BTC is entering the stage of its life cycle when stale and weak money capitulates and strong hands accumulate strategically1.8×04.6k1.1k26
33Feb 7, '18The best advice I can offer newbies: 1. Limit loss per trade to 1% of capital (2% max) 2. Learn that 80% of trades are throw-aways. Play for the 20%. 3. Don't worry about catching 1.8×04.4k1.1k23
34Jun 1, '24Absolutely amazing. My nod for best chart I have seen today.1.8×496k3.5k403532
35Jun 5, '22Inflation? What inflation? This graph shows the destruction of the purchasing power of the U.S. Dollar in the years since my birth. $1 in 1947 is now worth 7.4 cents $USD1.7×04k915166
36Nov 29, '17Blowing through resistance on a log graph -- in 42 years of trading I have NEVER seen anything like this. $BTC $btcusd #Bitcoin Pay attention folks, you may never see something lik1.7×03.2k1.5k0
37Dec 12, '17Fellow crypto traders -- enjoy this experience. Spend your profits wisely (pay off student loans, don't buy a Ferrari). There has never been a market like this, and won't be anothe1.7×03.7k1.2k4
38Mar 1, '21Us old-timers have learned that whenever @GoldmanSachs enters a market niche it is time to guard your money. $BTC1.7×04k675154
39Jan 22, '18General TA rule -- violation of parabolic advance leads to 80%+ decline in value. If general rule is followed, BTC should retrace to <$4,000. Note: This Tweet does not make me a1.6×03.3k865156
40Jun 18, '22For the record, from my inception trading cryptos I have stated my belief there is a 50% chance $BTC goes to $100k, $500K, $1MM, you name it; and, a 50% chance it becomes basically1.6×04.2k30068
41Nov 15, '21Charts of interest to me I am interested in buying $BTC around $53,000 and $ETH around $4,0301.6×03.9k420246
42Mar 10, '22My advise to Gen Zers is -Get degree in a field with jobs -Avoid student debt as possible -Secure good job, think about mkts as hobby -Buy a home/get married/be frugal -Contribute 1.6×04k490240
43Mar 21, '20There is talk about Boeing☂️✈️bail out. Totally opposed👎. I’d let Boeing go into chapter 11. Let companies restructure & comes back with clean balance sheet. That's capitalism1.6×04.2k69049
44May 1, '21I need to express my greatest respect and awe for the Ys and Zs who are embracing investing, trading and cryptos in a remarkable way. I welcome you to the world of trading and am l1.6×04.6k45628
45Nov 1, '22Nifty #India is breaking into new highs on expanded volume. This appears as if India could lead the next bull trend for global equities. $IN_F1.5×04.2k658105
46May 12View post on X1.5×434k475244142
47Nov 4, '21What a bunch of idiotic baboons1.5×04.3k61867
48Feb 23, '19If Dec 2017 to Feb 2019 is an analog to Dec 2013 to Jan 15, do you have a tactica plan to become fully invested in $BTC? I do.1.5×03.2k946106
49Sep 24, '18I attempt to alert Members to 10 big trends a year. More importantly my goal is to help members understand process of market speculation + challenges to overcome to be successful. 1.5×02.7k781129
50Oct 13, '22Some NFT Projects will make it1.5×03.1k44019
51Mar 27, '22The $BTC pattern is called an ascending triangle (right). Read about Asc Tris in Schabacker, Study III, pgs 93- Also, compare present pattern to similar structure in 2019 (left) #B1.5×03.6k602176
52Oct 10, '20Charts do NOT predict prices. No form of TA predicts prices. Charts suggest the path of least resistance Charts provide a means to determine the risk of a trade Charts offer help i1.4×03.3k702293
53Nov 11, '24Major buy signal over the weekend in Bitcoin $BTC1.4×401k3.8k494453
54Jan 21, '19If I had a chance to relive my entire 44 year trading career I would divert my trading profits into: 1. Income producing real estate - 33% 2. Blue chips with no debt - 33% 3. Growt1.4×03.3k647288
55Jul 14, '20As trader for 45 years I've seen the same theme again and again The demise of amateur traders is too much size. Their greed motivates them to over-size trades. The reality is that 1.4×03.7k561184
56May 16, '21Now officially the largest correction since the Mar 2020 low. But, how can this be????? There is supposed to be institutional support. $BTC. This was not supposed to happen!!!!!1.4×03.2k572198
57Jan 2, '1944 years as a trader have led me to one conclusion -- I may think I know what a given market is going to do (and be opinionated about it) but in the final analysis I do not have a 1.4×03.8k56737
58Oct 5, '19A great technical analyst cannot always be a good trader. A good trader is always a good risk manager -- it is what makes him/her a good trader. Trading and analysis are two differ1.4×03.2k758169
59Feb 26, '19Over the years my most profitable trades have been produced by HOLDING, not by active trading.1.4×03.6k57857
60Jun 7, '18Get ready to rock and roll $btcusd1.4×03k88622
61Sep 25, '25Signing off of X. Best to all of you. I will return but do not know when. Stay safe. Take small losses. Let winners ride. Love your spouse, kids, friends, Christ Trade to live, don1.4×383k4.2k100226
62Sep 1, '19Possibility that $BTC has entered fourth parabolic phase1.4×02.8k837117
63May 9, '25I usually go out of my way to NOT say anything good about $eth You can call it "hating" -- I guess you are right But, this congestion pattern could support a moon shot1.3×375k3k335397
64Jan 31, '21This is a monthly closing price chart of #Silver $SI_F $SLV that might get you excited. #WSB @wallstreetbets The target is $102 on arithmetic scale Pump It I love to see Gen XYZ ta1.3×03k621136
65Oct 9, '24Here is the macro picture of Bitcoin $BTC Observations: -Huge gains come in post-half of halving cycles -Period since Mar 2024 appears as insignificant, brief pause in ongoing tren1.3×371k3.1k476892
66Apr 7, '25Not financial advice If you are young (under 40 to me is infancy) and have a good paying stable job, do NOT believe the "sky is falling" narrative. Instead, from here down keep buy1.3×370k2.9k224439
67Jan 11, '25The big question in my mind is whether Bitcoin will get one more dump (or more lengthy congestive chop) before the pump. Remember, markets generally do not sour until retail trader1.3×366k2.8k285320
68Jul 20, '21Renko charts, originating in Japan, are probably the most useful for staying with a trend and not getting whipped around by shorter-term volatility. As shown for $BTC #Bitcoin, the1.3×02.8k428485
69Oct 11, '25A few final posts for the weekend, then I will leave you youngsters with your dreams $XRP - just a minor reaction in bigger theme of things $BTC - bull still alive and well $XLM - 1.3×357k3.2k395600
70Jan 28, '19If you want to really know yourself -- I mean REALLY know yourself, the good, the bad and the ugly, just become a trader. You will discover character flaws you never knew existed.1.3×03.3k57441
71Jul 28, '20My advice to young traders who want long trading careers: Stop being obsessed with catching tops and bottoms and become willing to accept large chunks in the middle. Or, because I 1.2×03.7k320109
72May 2, '24If Bitcoin can hold these lows and move higher the chart will qualify as a very common bull market continuation chart construction. $BTC1.2×350k3.4k441263
73Nov 13, '21IMO, #Bitcoin maximalists should oppose spot $BTC ETFs in U.S. Bitcoin's store of value story depends on its scarcity and even some difficulty to purchase. Let's not encourage gree1.2×03.6k31028
74May 21, '18The biggest lesson I have learned in 43 yrs of trading: No matter how sure I am about where a market will go, in reality I have no clue1.2×03.1k60031
75Apr 25, '20Sleep well tonight. We are all so lucky to be living in an age when Fed will bail us out.😉😉1.2×02.7k600160
76Dec 20, '21Implications of volume Key bottoms in $BTC have occurred with high volume panic capitulation That has (yet???) to happen Thoughts???1.2×02.8k360155
77Dec 18, '19Bitcoin $BTC has apparently held at important support1.2×02.8k60965
78Jun 27, '19Many altcoins benefited from the last bull run in $BTC Cryptomaniancs expect alts to do so again - they may be very disappointed 2000 .com bubble is analog Following 2001-02 tech c1.1×02.8k42629
79Jan 2, '18Do not chase breakouts. If you miss a breakout, just count it as a missed trade. Dogs that chase cars end up under the wheels.1.1×02.7k7494
80Nov 10, '21Note to my trolls (assuming you can read) Let me type this really slow so that you might understand -- I have only shorted cryptos once in my life (Nov 14, 2018) I have been contin1.1×03.7k16715
81Jul 5, '22When it looks like a pennant and acts like a pennant it is often a pennant $BTC1.1×02.9k372114
82Jul 16, '25It's altcoin season1.1×319k3.7k531407
83Nov 27, '19Historically, 15% of my trades produce 85% of net annual profits (bottom-liners) Guess what? -- if I knew which ones were going to be the bottom-liners I would have not taken the o1.1×03.1k431126
84Oct 23, '21The fill prices received in $BTC by @BinanceUS clients (sell stops filled as low as $9,000) were criminal IMO. The @SECGov @CFTC must investigate. IMO, if Binance was on buy side o1.1×03k38534
85Apr 9, '21In case you trade this (I don't) Coin is enjoying SEC ruling and the madness of crowds Weekly chart H&S patterns are too often not to believed. But sometimes they come true. Th1.1×02.6k53655
86Jan 27, '18For Millennials I certainly see putting 25%+ of your investment assets into cryptos (once your living expenses are covered). If you right you are set for life. If you are wrong you1.1×02.6k6782
87Mar 24, '21Is Bitcoin a form of money? U.S. Dollars in circulation = $2.1 Trillion Market cap of $BTC = $1.1 Trillion Officially Held Gold Reserves (35,000 tonnes) = $2.2 Trillion Looks to me1.1×02.6k60062
88Mar 2, '21Whether it be from $50,000, $100,000 or $1 million, the greed of #cryptomaniacs will eventually be their demise.1.1×02.7k21236
89Feb 6, '21Trading advice It's difficult to longer-term invest (hodl) and actively trade with the same account. Attempting to do so can mess up one's head space. Best always to separate capit1.1×03.1k240117
90Feb 18, '18True story about @CNBCFastMoney I was scheduled to appear on Dec 14. I was planning to say $BTC was topping & time to bail out. I was bumped for some "expert" that predicted $51.1×03k4720
91Feb 18, '22Bitcoin $BTC - major highs and length to exceed them Cheerleaders who constantly beat the drums of "to the moon" are doing a huge disservice to $BTC investors Corrections can be le1.1×02.8k34398
93Jun 2, '21Big picture perspective on owning $BTC in appropriate size with money you can afford to lose Market topped $64,7kf Market corrected to $30,0k Worst I can envision is $21,0k Why wou1.0×03k29457
94Jun 18, '22For the record I'm long-term $BTC bull, believe narrative From beginning I've thought laser-eyed Hodl-forever love affair is lunatic Any mkt that's had four 80%-plus DDs in 12 year1.0×02.9k26475
95Nov 26, '21Redux from Nov 151.0×03.1k20533
96Jun 1, '18I am not proud to call myself a baby-boomer. I am ashamed of my generation. Boomers have selfishly sold out the future of their children and grand children.1.0×02.8k4217
97Sep 27, '21The markets and trading have a magnificent way of making me feel like a genius one day and a complete idiot the next day. 🎢1.0×03.1k24138
98Nov 10, '24Bitcoin gave everyone a chance to buy breaks from Mar-Oct '24 When BTC decides to "Mark-Up," it never looks back Throughout its history, when BTC runs - it runs Based on Jan-Mar '21.0×283k3.4k531589
99Apr 25, '21The purpose of market corrections is to punish the stubborn. Severe corrections come to an end when enough ppl who earlier claimed they would never capitulate finally end up capitu1.0×02.7k36884
100May 28, '18I am so jealous. So many novices to crypto trading have become such all encompassing experts on trading in such a short time when it took me 5 years to gain self-sufficiency in fut1.0×02.8k2695
101Nov 6, '24The BIG losers are: -Mainstream media (now down for the count) -European model of society -Illegal invasion of U.S. -Rainbow flags on aircraft carriers -Washington elite -Hollyweir0.6×163k3.4k378204

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