Adam Ozimek

@ModeledBehavior93k followers

Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here:

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1Oct 4, '23Thanks to immigrants, the US won 75% of Nobel prizes in 2023. Without them, we only would have won 25%. High skilled immigration is a policy lever for more innovation unlike anythi104×1.8M12k3k438
2Sep 27, '24The port union is demanding "total ban on the automation of cranes, gates and container movements that are used in the loading or loading of freight at 36 U.S. ports". This is bad.95.7×1.6M4.3k278349
3Apr 10, '23Read the reddit thread on Ozempic improving people's impulse control broadly And here is a review of evidence in favor Now consider: what are the downstream implications of a socie73.2×1.2M1.1k111606
4Apr 23, '24This is a sitcom premise64.5×1.1M26k1.1k628
5Dec 15, '24You’ll find this hard to believe, but like 15 years ago it was a major debate whether communities should stop Walmarts from being built.60.7×1M3k112123
6Mar 4, '23It always shocks me when higher Ed, institutions basically run by progressives from top to bottom, filled with progressive students, can’t manage to get rid of legacy admissions de53.6×910k1.4k9669
7Jun 3, '23View post on X53.2×904k1.4k8438
8Jan 2, '24Polish Tiger When do we start to talk about economic development lessons from Poland?48.1×818k82011588
9May 12, '23View post on X47.9×813k1.9k8558
10Dec 29, '24I was intrigued by the “studying magic” part so I read the report and did the most cursory googling and $6m of that is for a place called “magic city discovery center”, which is a 43.6×740k16k1.2k507
11Mar 13, '25Ezra Klein for president, IMO36.5×621k1.3k3667
12Jan 3, '24Poland is now richer than Greece and even pulled ahead of Portugal. Closing in on others31.5×534k83015673
13Feb 14, '25This is absolutely ridiculous. And it is what happens when you judge a program in 15 seconds with zero content knowledge based on a description in a single database. This is not go31.2×530k6.7k1.4k613
14Dec 11, '24Text a coworker at a random time “are you joining this meeting?” as a fun holiday prank29.6×502k11k606551
15Dec 21, '24Krugman calls it for vibecession26.8×455k2.1k190250
16Jun 13, '23Inflation & wage growth are unequivocally coming down despite the theory that this could not happen without significant increase in unemployment. Its important to revisit this 26×442k1k148137
17Jun 21, '23As Yglesias notes, it’s really bizarre for tech guys to be supporting Kennedy. IMO the main explanation is that contrarianism is a brain rotting drug24.7×420k1.2k11150
18Jun 26, '25If you can’t see why grocery stores shouldn’t be government run, you have no limiting principle for what shouldnt be government run.24.3×412k2.5k24974
19Aug 2, '25The essential theory of DOGE was that government is low IQ problems and watch how fast we fix it all with high IQ tech whizzes. And it seems that some have not been sufficiently hu23.1×392k6.2k515322
20Aug 26, '23Land rents destroy the entire agglomeration wage premium. Folks, housing is really, really important right now21.8×370k1.3k255203
21Sep 7, '20Spending $40,000 on a car seems like the kind of thing to me that, intuitively, you do when you have like a couple million in wealth and make $400,000 a year. But absolutely normal19.2×015k1.1k540
22Mar 19, '25I predict you are going to hear this go from a whisper to something more people are saying out loud. I'm not saying he will definitely win, but I think the Abundance movement deser18.8×320k1.3k41173
23Dec 12, '24I sense nobody wants to talk about maybe the most successful US industrial policy in history: the auto bailout of 2008. Why so uncomfortable?... Two factors I think:18.4×312k98766327
24Apr 14, '25This is supposed to be inspiring, but how many parents did this, ruining their lives for decades, and the child amounted to nothing, now living a life filled with regret and failur17.7×301k1.9k66173
25Apr 10, '25If you didn’t like the tariff market crash, wait till you meet the fed independence market crash17×289k3.4k611308
26Jul 28, '25A lot of people being confused by the very simple fact that the admin said they were going to do hard decouple tariffs and then backed off because they got spooked by the market pa15.5×263k4.8k360228
27Nov 24, '24People don’t lack this information, they lack willpower. You cannot prescribe willpower. This is very simply and I am confused at the faux naivety except for the theory that some p15.3×260k1.2k47138
28Jul 16, '24The economics profession is still not grappling with the magnitude of the intellectual error in underestimating full employment. I think it is worth rewinding the clock to see how 15.2×259k787115283
29Apr 18, '25Neoliberalism is back14.6×248k1.3k111178
30Oct 10, '25Kushner seems to be a genuinely impressive guy, I feel like this should be a bipartisan conclusion at this point.13.3×226k2.1k58134
31Mar 4, '21Tell me if I’m missing something. Dr. Seuss Enterprises LP decided it didn’t want to print books it thinks are offensive, and people have responded in protest by buying tons of boo13.2×011k1.3k87
32May 11, '25A nice move Ezra had on his podcast recently was ask the guest to name some things their policy tool wouldn’t fix. They tried to list things but then immediately started walking th12.3×210k1.4k27123
33May 2, '23I'll bet anyone $10 million dollars that the US does not enter hyperinflation11.7×199k2.3k6914
34Feb 3, '25Is it worth $1 per US person, per year, to save 1.5m lives? You don't have to weigh foreigners and Americans as equal to you in order to say yes.10.3×175k2.5k155123
35Nov 6, '24Panic hoarding fluoridated water10.2×173k3k23043
36Mar 13, '23Ke Huy Kwan couldn’t get work as an adult actor and had to work on production for over 20 years. Then he got one break and it turns out he’s an academy award winning caliber actor.10.1×171k1k5127
37Sep 11, '25Defenders of the ICE raid on Hyundai actually being good strategy need to understand the Trump admin actually doesn’t believe this and is trying to undo the damage9.7×165k91012175
38Feb 24, '22Long, long past time for a Manhattan project for cheap cheap green energy that bankrupts petrol states like Russia. Ruthlessly oush costs down, and sell the technology cheap around9.7×07.5k900164
39Mar 29, '22The most bizarre thing about Jordan Peterson is the insanely confident and impatient way he insists everyone else needs to suck it up and get their shit together while so transpare9.7×08.5k564183
40Jul 23, '25The way that Teachout's terrible NYT op-ed was aggressively mocked, the disappearance of MMT, the YIMBY's understanding deeply the costs of regulation, tariffs losing all support o9.5×161k1.2k52134
41Feb 28, '25At some point "stop with the virtue signaling" became "stop with the virtue having"9.0×152k4.6k518182
42Apr 12, '25We need a hard decoupling from China* *except for smartphones, computers, and electronics8.5×144k1.9k24340
44Mar 24, '25One of my messages for the abundance folks for years now has been that you are at war with more of the left and in deeper ways than you want to admit. Those other parts of the left8.1×137k9035062
45Jan 9, '21Only 22% of adults use Twitter. In contrast almost every house has a TV. The idea that there is some monopoly over access to the public here is really not compelling. Maybe you spe8.0×05.7k1k199
46Mar 10, '25First recession that is totally unnecessary and could be stopped at any moment?7.7×131k5.6k26478
47Feb 6, '25Sorry but when you have 1.5 million followers and share misinformation, “community notes took care of it” does not suffice. Post a retraction6.6×113k2.1k11834
48Oct 1, '24Lots of at least implying that port unions could embrace automation with no workers losing jobs. Seems more realistic that they are indeed preserving jobs. We should be willing to 5.5×94k1.1k5123
49Oct 3, '24People who think we can just buy out Union port workers are missing the intergenerational rent seeking aspect here5.5×93k1.3k10283
50Sep 17, '23How do you not love this grotesque absurdity? It’s great to live in the future5.0×85k1k3820
51Sep 20, '25In one week they came down hard on free speech and high skilled immigration. Where is the tech right?4.7×80k1.5k10339
52Feb 28, '16Donald Trump is a black light for the hotel room that is the Republican Party4.7×02.3k1.4k0
53Aug 10, '25I don’t really understand. It’s a national security issue or it isn’t. If it is, how does a tax mitigate the risk?4.6×79k1.1k13252
54Apr 28, '22If we are forgiving student debt because the student got a bad deal, the program that they went to should be banned from student loans.4.1×03.5k29827
55Sep 8, '25The idea we are going to build more industrial capacity but only if it’s with American steel and aluminum, only employs native born workers, promises not to close unproductive loca4.0×69k1.3k13957
56Jan 10, '21Dozens of senators were almost murdered a few days ago but no let’s argue about app store rules4.0×03.3k43810
58Jun 23, '20“It’s not immigration they oppose, but illegal immigration.” “It’s not immigration they oppose, but unskilled immigration.” Actually, it’s immigration they oppose. Full stop. No ma3.6×02.6k53529
59Apr 1, '25Having already been liberated from a growing 401k, I cannot wait to be liberated from my discretionary spending next. Happy liberation day eve everyone3.6×61k2k18032
60Dec 21, '21Let’s do this3.4×02.7k24489
61Oct 9, '22A very 2020s type: genius in their field, very basic low information fool outside their field but convinced they are a genius there too, anti establishment, hates herd mentality so3.1×02.4k215158
62Jun 14, '20We had the choice to be this too3.1×02.4k41912
63Oct 1, '24This is the bullet some wish to avoid biting. I will though. We do not want to preserve THESE well paying blue collar. They are a choke point in a supply chain which itself is impo3.0×51k1.2k6326
64Aug 26, '25The stock market feels like a frog in boiling water to me3.0×51k1.3k6630
65Jul 8, '22Economy added 372k jobs in June, beating consensus. The labor market is not even remotely suggesting recession.2.9×02.2k39223
66Mar 6, '20If you think it’s possible for one of the richest guys in the country to give everyone $1 million, I can understand why you’re more upset about inequality than I am. But perhaps yo2.9×02.5k26235
67Aug 16, '24Had not occurred to me to just ban inflation2.9×49k814838
68Feb 27, '25How they going to pay this if they also get rid of the penny2.8×48k866308
69Oct 20, '20This is not just stupid, it's also class war2.8×01.8k38339
70Jul 13, '20Ok here is my business plan. You build a website that lets Qanon people bet on Qanon outcomes. Like “will Bill Gates be in jail in 6 months?”. You market it to them as a place wher2.6×02.1k21153
71Oct 25, '20I understand Republicans who are afraid of the rise of the far left. I absolutely am as well, I’ve written about it for years. But that’s a reason to vote for Biden, not against hi2.6×01.8k24952
72Jun 18, '21The idea of deporting a U.S. citizen because you don’t like their politics is more radically un-American than anything Omar has ever said or will ever say. Truly shameful2.6×02.2k27117
73Jun 23, '20Houston Open Table data is a warning to cities and states everywhere. You can't help restaurants by opening too soon.2.4×01.3k48232
74May 3, '20The stock market panic in early to mid March saved hundreds of thousands of lives. Without it, the federal government response would’ve been even slower2.3×01.8k20635
75Nov 8, '20You can’t vote for someone because he pisses the other side off and then feign shock that the other side is pissed off by it2.2×01.9k19821
76Oct 11, '20To everyone puzzling “wow where was this pete buttigieg during the primary?”: he was hidden behind the blinders you put up when he ran against your favored candidate2.2×01.9k12714
78Dec 14, '211,000 people are dying every day and the cure is sitting in Pfizer’s warehouses waiting for bureaucrat approval and people aren’t freaking out about that2.0×01.4k21621
79Sep 9, '20Yes John Rambo would side with the cops over the issue of excessive force. Incredible meme, 32k likes of people who have definitely seen First Blood1.8×01.3k20519
80Nov 3, '25Respect to Ben Shapiro for speaking unequivocally on this1.6×28k1.1k338
81Jan 1, '22Does this seem insane and unlikely to anyone else?1.6×01.2k5138
82Jan 12, '21Armed protests are being planned across the nation for inauguration and the President is not out there every day begging people to stay home. But no let’s focus on how Dems need to1.5×01k23610
83Feb 21, '22The good news is nothing of actual value was stolen1.4×01.3k1255
84Apr 11, '21Covid skeptics: The virus only killing 2% of people who get it proves its not dangerous, while 1 out of 1 million people getting health problems from the vaccine proves it is dange1.4×01k22014
85Jan 11, '21Republicans are more likely to blame democrats in Congress for the capitol hill riots than to blame President Trump. How do you have a functioning country with this level of insani1.3×09531877
86Mar 3, '21Having mask mandates makes it a lot easier to enforce with customers. They aren't going to argue with the manager and cause a scene if you can just tell them "sorry, it's the law".1.3×01.1k1117
87Mar 9, '22Not a great time to be forcing everyone back to the gas guzzling commute. For patriotism, push corporations to give WFH a few more months1.3×01k1087
88Jul 14, '22Still deeply unreal to me we are sitting here with a massive energy shock, 9% inflation, and tons of oil in the ground but the government not doing anything to spur supply. It has 1.2×090212022
90May 11, '22The six stages of inflation cope: - Inflation won't happen - Inflation isn't happening - Inflation is a media hoax - Inflation is transitory - Inflation is just corporate greed - S1.2×097212120
92Aug 27, '20Hold on, extra UI expired, why isn’t hiring surging now that the dreaded constraint on labor supply has been lifted???1.2×079121513
93Feb 26, '22If economic warfare is mostly how we are going to punish bad actors it is incumbent the US economy remain dominant in a relative sense. There is one sure fire way to do that, and w1.2×09868915
94Feb 10, '22People… stop buying cars1.1×0867539
95Aug 25, '22Inequality caused the Great Recession? This is below minimum acceptable quality for NPR1.1×09154847
96Sep 8, '20Been on this hellsite for over a decade now, every single day sharing my thoughts on labor markets, monetary policy, economics... and now I get to be the $40k car guy forever.1.0×01k1615
97Dec 21, '21The demo this is aimed at is “person who shares Robert Reich posts”1.0×0984507
98Jun 27, '20I don’t know how you add it up or measure it, but collective insanity is as high as it’s been in my lifetime.0.8×0729516
99Apr 18, '22He was poisoned, stabbed, shot, hung, stretched, disemboweled, drawn and quartered. Just before his head died, he uttered this prophetic warning: “Death is but a door. Time is but 0.8×06936914

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