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Jessica Riedl 🧀 🇺🇦

@JessicaBRiedl57k followers

Fellow @BrookingsInst. Past: @ManhattanInst, Sen. Portman chief economist (2011-17), budget policy for 4 prez campaigns. Fiercely independent. Views mine.🏳️‍🌈

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1Nov 13, '24Wow, Vivek Ramaswamy comes out for defunding Veterans' health care ($120 billion). He wants to defund the $516 billion spent annually on programs with expired authorizations, and t126×3.6M6.3k2.2k971
2Feb 6, '25Quick update: my name has changed from Brian Riedl to Jessica Riedl. Fear not, my focus on rapid-response (center-right) economic policy and cool budget charts won’t change. Link b126×3.6M3.8k134540
3Sep 17, '25Expelling a student from a public university for mocking Charlie Kirk's death is blatantly unconstitutional. A big lawsuit is coming, and rightfully so.87.3×2.5M50k5.2k1.3k
4Feb 11, '241) NATO does not require any significant member dues. 2) After 9/11, NATO invoked Section 5 to defend America, and fought beside us in Afghanistan. 3) Encouraging Russia to invade 63.5×1.8M18k2.9k528
5Jul 1, '25A hearty Fuck You to @TheBabylonBee for posting on your website a picture of my kids that was stolen from a private Facebook page. You will have so much more to answer for before G44×1.3M7.3k311244
6Feb 4, '25“Why aren’t you cheering Trump & DOGE? I thought you wanted spending and deficit cuts!" Because I’ve been doing this for 25 years and can’t be tricked by gimmicky nonsense. Trump’s37.9×1.1M8k2k2.6k
7Sep 25, '23The 10-year Treasury just hit a 16-year high of 4.5%, which - if sustained - is basically catastrophic for long-term federal deficits. This is much more important than the vast maj34.9×995k3.5k887232
8Jul 1, '25I'll be taking a break from this hellsite. A lot of people need to take a look in the mirror and confront the monsters they've become. I'm just a budget economist wriring about the27.3×779k3.3k161100
9Sep 10, '24Sorry, but this is disqualifying. He is endorsing a coup.26.9×767k33k2.8k467
10Sep 1, '25Today alone, the White House has claimed: -$8 trillion in new tariff revenue. -$4 trillion in net deficit reduction. -$5 trillion in new business investment. -Hundreds of thousands26.6×759k18k4.3k835
11Jan 16, '24Because you borrowed at a roughly 8.5% interest rate in the late 90s, never refinanced even as interest rates collapsed, made only the minimum interest payment, and failed to take 25.3×720k5.7k467179
12Feb 3, '25It is absolutely a constitutional crisis. The president has zero legal authority to "shut down," defund, or otherwise cripple a $50 billion agency. Audit it, identify unnecessary e24.1×687k5.9k900376
13Feb 2, '22Modest proposal: Don't suspend Whoopi Goldberg. Don't fire Ilya Shapiro. Don't banish Joe Rogan. Don't pressure Amazon to stop carrying certain books. Don't practice heavy-handed s22×047k7.2k237
14Oct 20, '23As a former Congressional staffer myself, I kindly ask these staffers to STFU. You aren't at Swarthmore anymore. No one elected you, or cares that 400 of you signed a petition. You18×512k3.8k56983
15Nov 1, '23I never want to hear another word from a campus administrator or leftist about safe spaces, microaggressions, silence-is-violence, or sensitivity training. It was always just a cov16.3×464k4.4k912200
16Jan 28, '25Sorry, the blame here lies entirely with the White House for releasing a terribly-written memo that did not include most of the guardrails they are now rushing to add as part of th15×428k7.8k838270
17Feb 18, '25Terrific thread cataloguing how the DOGE website's claim of $55 billion saved consists heavily of basic math errors - confusing billions vs. millions - failing to list to other sav14.8×422k3.1k760434
18Jan 31, '25This word salad makes zero sense. Cutting $1 trillion by next year is laughably absurd. And no idea what "economic growth should be able to match that number" means, or how that wo14.8×421k8.9k1.2k432
19Jul 1, '25.@TheBabylonBee. If anyone messed with their kids, they'd go to the ends of Earth. But I'm LGBT, so my kids are - in their words "fair game" as they send laughing emojis. They pret11.3×322k3k19670
20Dec 2, '18Wow. You claim $21 Trillion in Pentagon Waste? The entire Pentagon budget from 1789-2018 has totaled $18 trillion, Come on, This is embarrassing.10.9×018k5.5k71
21Feb 15, '25"nobody even knows where the [national debt] money went and you’re not allowed to ask." Huh? Its all public record at OMB & CBO, which I've also used to publish 600 reports, ar10.5×299k4.7k701195
22Dec 15, '23So Chicago's plan for educational "equity" is not to fix its low-performing public schools, but rather to shut down its handful of elite, high-performing public schools. This is no10.2×290k2.4k40483
23Jan 26, '25Narrator: No, it could not happen, according to anyone remotely familiar with basic economics or arithmetic.10.2×290k5.6k419158
24Jul 19, '19This is my favorite story of the day. Bernie Sanders' campaign staff has unionized and is demanding a $15 per hour "living wage" and 100%-paid health care for those earning under $10.1×014k5.4k158
25Sep 27, '25VP Vance is completely making this up. The Democrat's CR proposal has nothing resembling a demand to give $1 trillion in medical benefits to illegal immigrants. It's not merely an 9.8×280k3.6k1k134
26Apr 2, '25Some voters got mad about people listing their pronouns, so now we're sending law-abiding, legal immigrants to torture prisons and being hit with the largest middle class tax hike 9.5×272k5k872181
27Dec 20, '22Annual reminder that it's insane for Congress to procrastinate all year, and then days before Christmas shove a full year's legislation into one 4,155-page, $2 trillion bill that n9.4×269k2.9k64542
28Oct 4, '24This is simply false. Not only are natural disasters addressed in a separate emergency fund, but catastrophic hurricane aid always comes from Congress passing emergency aid bills a8.9×253k3.4k675191
29Oct 20, '25That it took the White House 9 months to figure this out is economic malpractice.8.3×236k9k1.2k175
30Mar 6, '25The Commerce Secretary suggests we can finance a $7 trillion federal budget without any American paying any taxes. This would require a universal 220% tariff that inexplicably does8.2×234k3.3k861191
31Mar 5, '25Newt Gingrich says the "McKinley Model" requires high tariffs over a three-year transition period. Notable: Three years after the 1890 McKinley tariff, the economy had fallen into 8.2×233k4.2k1.1k251
32Oct 15, '25I'm trying to figure out how sending $7 billion to Africa to save 20 million lives from HIV (many of whom are kids) is an outrage (America First! We can't afford it) ... yet someho8.1×230k3.3k628149
33Dec 20, '24Both bills contained nearly the same huge spending increases. And the smaller one also gave Washington a 2-year blank check to bury the budget in debt. But, sure, let's judge legis7.8×223k5.5k562193
34Aug 27, '24To be clear: there is zero economic or statistical evidence (or even theory) suggesting that Trump's tariffs lowered domestic prices on the affected goods. It's literally made up. 7.6×217k2k47979
35Jan 21, '24The obvious difference is that Reagan inherited a 13.5% inflation rate, so voters gave him more slack to gradually bring it down to 3.2%. Biden inherited a 1.2% inflation rate and 7.2×204k2.3k42083
37Mar 10, '25I'm usually the first to say that presidents receive way too much credit and blame for economic conditions that they have little power to control or influence in the short-term. No7.0×199k5.2k700124
38Aug 25, '24Narrator: No, economists do not disagree on that. In fact, its one of the only things economists agree on. Vance's full answer is economic nonsense.6.9×197k5.6k1.1k104
39Oct 23, '25Mr. Dillon's publication viciously attacked me and doxed my young kids. When I messaged him demanding their pictures' removal, he publicly slandered and mocked me more. All just be6.8×194k2.9k252110
40Feb 8, '25The idea that waste & fraud in the federal budget totals $2 trillion(!) is so absurd as to be utterly disqualifying. Items like payment errors, duplication, & cost overruns6.8×193k2.8k324125
41Aug 7, '25This is so embarrassing, cringe, and corrupt. Do you really want to live in a country where billionaire CEOs buy government favors on live television? Forget "drain the swamp," thi6.6×187k6.2k1.2k170
42Oct 24, '25That Canadian commercial's clips of Reagan's comments are real. They were not selectively edited to misrepresent his views on trade. Nor does anyone need permission to broadcast th6.2×177k3.2k560107
43Apr 25, '24Yes, I agree that we should not copy the Iraq example by invading Ukraine, overthrowing its leader, and trying to set up a new govt. None of which has anything to do with financial6.0×172k2.2k31731
44Apr 30, '24The one redeeming aspect of this antisemitic campus thuggery is exposing again how the campus speech codes, safe spaces, etc., were purely about power and silencing critics rather 5.9×169k2.4k42083
45Nov 16, '24Wild that Biden's ARP gave the Teamsters an unprecedented, massive, $80 billion bailout to their bankrupt pension fund, and they responded by endorsing Trump. I disagreed with the 5.9×168k2.5k369197
46Jul 26, '25He entered the U.S. legally, followed all the rules, and had no criminal record. And our government still sent him to be raped and tortured in a Venezuelan prison. If you are ok wi5.9×167k2.9k791170
47Feb 23, '25If Mitch Daniels was running DOGE, they'd have already began implementing GAO recs to fix the $191 billion in payment errors, consolidating duplicative programs, and auditing 1000s5.3×150k2.3k274177
48Feb 5, '25USAID absolutely has dumb waste that serves no humanitarian purpose and should be eliminated (legally, through Congress). But forgive me for not wanting to also cause the death of 5.2×147k2.6k301137
49Aug 1, '25Trump firing the BLS director for a bad jobs report - days after demanding the Smithsonian remove him from the list of impeached presidents - is banana republic stuff. If a Democra5.1×146k4k928134
50Nov 14, '25I'm used to spin and rhetorical sleights of hand ... but I will never get used to presidents and White Houses completely fabricating data that can anyone can look up and check. I'm5.1×146k3.5k739184
51Oct 19, '25The federal government is run by a bunch of 4th graders. This is an official government account that is supposed to be providing important transportation updates.I don't know how a4.9×141k4k431122
52Dec 20, '24For 4 Biden years, GOP lawmakers railed against deficits and especially debt limit hikes. Then Trump wins, and GOP passes $310 billion in spending hikes with no payfors, and most v4.9×138k2.2k634149
53Sep 11, '25You can always count on President Trump to fail to meet the moment. Instead of trying to bring people together and de-escalate all the recent political violence, he decides to thro4.7×134k3.1k48897
54Jun 20, '21Some "Twitter is not real life" data, using Pew surveys: - Twitter users are D+15 - which would tie HI & VT for the most liberal state. - The 10% of Twitter users who post 92% 4.6×07.4k1.9k693
55Aug 20, '25It turns out that - no surprise - the White House had been illegally hiding a key federal spending database in order to obscure that it was beginning to illegally impound spending,4.4×124k4.2k1.7k413
56Feb 1, '25When the international community wants to hammer an enemy's economy, it isolates that economy by imposing a trade embargo. Only the U.S. government is dumb enough to impose a trade4.3×124k2.2k37890
57Jun 15, '25I will never cease to be disgusted that a leading nation of 330 million people put this dangerous crackpot in charge of HHS.4.3×123k3.6k42567
58Oct 31, '25"I'm convinced that I could pay off my entire mortgage by skipping an appetizer at Applebees."4.3×123k2.2k14425
59Sep 30, '25This stuff appeals to permanent adolescents who think politics is just another WWE episode where the sole purpose is to troll and anger the other side for entertainment. The people4.2×118k2.5k424113
60Mar 30, '25The coffins contain the African children with HIV who will no longer receive the life-saving HIV medication that had cost 0.1% of federal spending, or 1/60th as much as the tax cut4.0×115k2.3k34381
61Apr 3, '25Reminder that Congress could, at any time, pass legislation canceling these tariffs and then vote to override a veto. As prices rise and your 401(k) falls, don't let lawmakers get 3.7×106k2.5k57380
62Feb 15, '24Tucker's next trips: "Cuba must be paradise - they have free health care!" "Wow, China has so much law and order." "North Korea is so wonderful you will not find anyone criticizing3.7×105k2.7k49653
63Mar 23, '25Millions of Africans are being denied their live-saving HIV treatments - and tuberculosis and polio are again returning - because this one billionaire can't handle having a transge3.5×100k3k674102
64Oct 26, '25Congress has reduced itself to a ceremonial body. We no longer have a functional legislative branch.3.0×86k3.5k43394
65May 28, '20Many of New York's nursing home residents were not available for comment.2.9×06.2k1k23
66Feb 15, '18This is why conservatives complain about media bias. Where is the dataset listing how much Democrats receive from unions, pro-choice groups, or industries seeking special-interest 2.9×04.5k1.6k2
67Mar 4, '25We've gone from: "Vote Trump to end Bidenflation and bring down prices," to "Ok, Trump will raise prices even higher, but that's the price of loyalty to our dear leader."2.9×81k2.2k33975
68Jun 24, '22As a pro-lifer - and despite being a hardcore fiscal conservative - I think the GOP must strongly step-up by ensuring sufficient resources for maternal & newborn health care, p2.8×05.4k68652
69Jan 22, '25Love my country, but "Gulf of America" has a 2003 "freedom fries" feel to it. A bit cringe.2.6×73k2.4k14435
71Feb 17, '22I understand they no longer have any loyalty whatsoever to civil liberties, but the ACLU suing the state to extend mask mandates is like the NRA trying to repeal the 2nd Amendment.2.3×04.7k87626
72Jun 17, '25One of the more devastating fact checks I've read. Every single claim made by Sen. Scott about CBO was wildly false. My favorite was his claim that CBO also committed major tax sco2.1×61k2.3k710126
73Jan 9, '19It is a little rich to see Schumer attacking the morality of shutting down the government over immigration policy......a year after Schumer and Senate Dems shut down the government2.0×03.5k1.1k8
74Feb 16, '22If only we could return to May 2020, when national gas prices fell to $1.93/gallon because oil companies decided they love us and didn't care about making money. Is that how pricin1.9×04.2k64546
75Mar 6, '21Every idiot Republican who told Georgia GOP voters their Senate vote does not matter -- or who boycotted the election themselves -- owns this craptastic "stimulus" bill.1.9×04.1k54618
76Mar 22, '20The Senate Democrats just engaged in one of the most cynical displays of partisanship I have ever seen in the U.S. Senate. They let Pelosi blow up a bipartisan agreement. And they'1.9×03.1k1k12
77Feb 5, '20I advised the 2012 Romney campaign. The crazy smears leveled by top Democrats were unforgivable (slavery supporter, felon tax cheat, misogynist, murderer). Not "normal politics." M1.9×03.7k57025
78Sep 29, '20The Babylon Bee wrote a satirical article claiming that the liberal 9th Circuit overturned the death of RBG. USA Today then published a 1,200-word fact-check with 15 sources to det1.8×03.2k78044
79Dec 13, '21Masks are scientifically necessary to stop the spread of COVID unless you are: 1) Protesting for social justice, 2) An elected official eating at French Laundry, 3) Being interview1.8×03.6k73647
80Nov 16, '20Student Loan Forgiveness: 1) Not stimulus 2) Disproportionately benefits upper-income (and future upper-income), esp. MBAs, JDs, MDs 3) Unfair to non-college attendees & loan r1.8×03.5k616111
81Nov 11, '22Countdown to the White House bragging that it just cut the deficit by $600 billion.1.8×03.9k56227
82May 16, '22This is excruciating to watch. Not only is she answering the question by reading from pre-written notes, but she seemed to have turned to the wrong page because she is not even rem1.8×03.3k51270
83Jun 27I now have a Substack page. One place for current & past studies, op-eds, testimonies, videos, speeches, economic policy links, and anything else I decide to post. Open replies1.7×48k1181811
84May 4, '22The 3 main budget bills signed by Biden: 1) American Rescue Plan: $1.9 trillion cost. 2) Infrastructure bill: $250 billion net cost. 3) March omnibus: Approx. $200 billion hike. Pr1.5×02.5k77988
85Jan 4, '19Those romanticizing 91% income tax rates under Eisenhower, take note: 1) High income thresholds & loopholes shielded most, thus: 1) 1950s revenues (%GDP) were lower than today 1.5×02.3k77989
86Feb 8, '19Trying to cost out the Green New Deal Before getting to "green policies" there is a call for -Single payer ($32T) -Jobs guarantee ($7T) -What looks like UBI for poor ($5T+) -Educat1.5×02.5k72352
87Nov 11, '20The final WSJ/NBC poll had Biden up by 23 with seniors. Trump ended up winning seniors by 5. At this point, I am essentially done with polling. It is worse than useless, it activel1.5×02.5k62959
88Dec 26, '2130 years ago today, the Soviet Union dissolved and the Cold War ended. Few people under 40 will appreciate what a cataclysmic event this was. The Cold War (and threat of nuclear wa1.5×03k46949
89Apr 30, '22They forgive student loans and then what? The same lenders keep lending. Students borrow even more expecting their round of forgiveness too. Colleges nudge up tuition more for thes1.4×02.9k46224
90Jan 6, '21All I wanted was less government, less spending/deficits, free markets, free trade, and qualified, originalist judges. Why can't there be a competent, sane political party for peop1.4×03.2k28820
92Oct 11, '20Using "court-packing" to describe the routine filling of vacant judgeships - in order to lay the groundwork for your side's actual court packing - is the type of intellectually dis1.2×02.4k43421
94May 17, '21Medicare-For-All would cost approx $3.2 trillion/yr, while defense currently spends $733 billion. Which is why neither Rep. Omar - nor anyone else - has drafted a proposal to finan1.1×02.2k39854
95Mar 18, '20Today I've seen forecasts of 10% GDP drop, 20% unemployment, a new "black death" & 18-month home lockdown. Enough already. Things are bad, getting worse, and we have to hit bac1.1×02.3k34211
96Mar 13, '20The former Secretary of Labor cannot differentiate between the cost of a temporary $1.5 trillion loan and a permanent tax hike of $30 trillion in just the first decade.1.0×02.1k41425
97Sep 20, '20I'm sure if Scalia's dying wish was to overturn Roe v. Wade, the Dems would have gotten right on that <eyeroll>1.0×02.1k35219
98Jun 1, '22Given that Rolling Stone was forced to pay millions in lawsuits after peddling the fake UVA rape accusations, they may wish to sit this one out.1.0×02.2k36320
99Dec 26, '18When the kids announce "I'm bored" hours after opening their Christmas presents...1.0×02.3k30617
100Sep 21, '20The left despises McConnell because he's the only Hill GOP leader in decades who is as ruthless they are. Most Republican Hill leaders are pushovers who want to be loved by DC elit1.0×02.1k32241
101Dec 19, '21Since March, Manchin has voted for or supported: - $1.9T relief bill, - $550B infrastructure bill, - $1T added to the 10-year disc. baseline, - $1.5T on BBB. That's $5 trillion in 1.0×02.1k31841

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