| 1 | Mar 27, '24 | In the Huntsville AL area, Democrats have flipped state House District 10 tonight. In 2022, Marilyn Lands (D) lost by about 7 points. This time, she won by almost 25%, sweeping nea | 110× | 1.8M | 3.3k | 935 | 113 |
| 2 | Nov 14, '24 | CRYSTAL BALL: My look today at where Senate Dem candidates ran better, or worse than, Harris. | 76.8× | 1.2M | 1.8k | 276 | 511 |
| 3 | Aug 15, '24 | It's possible someone born in the Eastern Roman Empire (ended 1453) could have heard about Florida (discovered in 1513). | 54.7× | 876k | 19k | 864 | 765 |
| 4 | Aug 21, '20 | if I see anyone mocking that kid they're gonna get blocked. I'm a stutterer myself and I can't imagine the courage this kid has -- even at 28 years old, it's a challenge. | 40.6× | 0 | 31k | 2k | 41 |
| 5 | Nov 9, '24 | In Nebraska, Sen. Deb Fischer (R) was reelected by 7 points over Dan Osborn (I). Osborn still carried two of the state's three CDs, including NE-1, which has Lincoln. Osborn's stre | 14.4× | 231k | 1k | 143 | 79 |
| 6 | Aug 5, '24 | If Harris picks Walz and wins, MN will have 3 of the last 6 Dem VPs. | 13.8× | 221k | 1.9k | 73 | 71 |
| 7 | Nov 11, '24 | Does New Mexico not exist? | 11.2× | 179k | 3.4k | 54 | 55 |
| 8 | Dec 31, '23 | Left: Gov. Edwards entering office, 2015 Right: Gov. Edwards leaving office, 2023 | 10.9× | 175k | 1.4k | 57 | 91 |
| 9 | Oct 4, '20 | Jaime Harrison ripping Graham on changing the rules for holding court hearings. "Just be a man about it!" #scsen | 10.9× | 0 | 7.2k | 1.2k | 12 |
| 10 | Nov 5, '20 | Robeson County, NC precincts where Native Americans are a majority of voters: 2012 Obama - 59.4% Romney - 39.2% 2020 Trump - 69.1% Biden - 30.1% | 10.9× | 0 | 5.1k | 1.3k | 255 |
| 11 | Feb 23, '24 | Mine would surprise none of my followers. (May add that I met my gf on Hinge) | 10.0× | 159k | 875 | 22 | 61 |
| 12 | Nov 5, '25 | Per CBS's exit poll, most of Spanberger's improvement over McAuliffe 2021 is coming from non-college grad voters. College: McAuliffe +16 -> Spanberger +21 Non-college: Youngkin | 9.9× | 158k | 880 | 136 | 59 |
| 13 | Apr 20, '24 | RIP He had the best pun game in politics. | 8.5× | 137k | 3.8k | 110 | 87 |
| 14 | Aug 6, '24 | CRYSTAL BALL ELECTORAL COLLEGE RATING CHANGE: MN goes from Leans D to Likely D | 7.8× | 124k | 2.9k | 103 | 55 |
| 15 | Apr 11, '24 | The two most ironic buttons in my collection. | 7.7× | 123k | 3.1k | 100 | 142 |
| 16 | Nov 6, '20 | The ghosts of John Lewis, John Dingell and John McCain may be up to some, er, good trouble in the Electoral College. | 7.3× | 0 | 5.1k | 581 | 46 |
| 17 | Dec 29, '24 | RIP | 7.3× | 116k | 3.9k | 233 | 153 |
| 18 | Nov 4, '21 | I give up | 6.8× | 0 | 5k | 365 | 94 |
| 19 | Sep 29, '23 | When was the last time a governor appointed senators to both seats? | 6.4× | 103k | 1k | 23 | 14 |
| 20 | Oct 12, '20 | Cal Cunningham up 49%-39% over Tillis in new SurveyUSA poll. He's *improved* since the texting scandal -- he was up 7% in the last poll. Cunningham lost some ground with seniors, w | 6.3× | 0 | 3.1k | 551 | 30 |
| 21 | Jan 29, '25 | Selzer should un-retire | 6.2× | 100k | 2.8k | 83 | 49 |
| 22 | Nov 7, '23 | WE NEVER LEFT | 6.1× | 97k | 789 | 45 | 9 |
| 23 | Apr 5, '18 | City of Appleton, WI 2016 President Clinton - 49.2% Trump - 43.8% 2016 #WISen Johnson (R) - 48.7% Feingold (D) - 47.5% 2018 #WisconsinSupremeCourt Dallet (D) - 63.8% Screnock (R) - | 4.8× | 0 | 3k | 552 | 2 |
| 24 | Nov 4, '23 | Biggest tease of the last 15 years | 4.6× | 73k | 777 | 19 | 13 |
| 25 | Nov 9, '22 | Fetterman is the first Dem since 1962 to win the Class III PA seat. | 4.5× | 0 | 3.4k | 271 | 18 |
| 26 | Nov 4, '20 | The good news for Dems is that the Midwest, from what we've seen, isn't looking like FL. | 4.5× | 0 | 3.4k | 257 | 4 |
| 27 | May 10, '24 | A friend of mine posted a pic of this shirt today and I’m convinced it’s why Gore carried Oregon. | 4.4× | 71k | 1.3k | 36 | 52 |
| 28 | Jan 17, '25 | Imagine going into a coma during Harris’ veepstakes then waking up to this tweet. | 4.4× | 70k | 847 | 24 | 38 |
| 29 | Sep 25, '20 | This man voted against both Trump’s SCOTUS nominees and won in a Trump +21 state | 4.3× | 0 | 3k | 271 | 33 |
| 30 | Nov 6, '20 | Winning Georgia would be great for Dems, but they need to be prepared to do it again on Jan. 5 — and make sure it’s a straight party vote for both races. | 4.3× | 0 | 3.2k | 276 | 5 |
| 31 | Sep 19, '24 | CRYSTAL BALL: A rating change with some recent developments in mind. #ncgov | 3.8× | 60k | 840 | 39 | 12 |
| 32 | Mar 6, '24 | Alabama called for Biden again | 3.7× | 59k | 1.4k | 66 | 65 |
| 33 | Oct 20, '20 | CRYSTAL BALL SENATE RATING CHANGE #IASen: Toss-up -> Leans Democratic Theresa Greenfield (D) is favored over Sen. Joni Ernst (R). We see Democrats with 50 Senate seats, Republic | 3.6× | 0 | 1.7k | 411 | 39 |
| 34 | Jan 6, '21 | In a decade, watch GA and VA vote D+10% while FL and NC will still be R+1% for everything. | 3.5× | 0 | 2.6k | 154 | 18 |
| 35 | Jan 6, '21 | The 12 counties in #GA14 (Marjorie Taylor Greene's district) are all >99% in. The district voted 3:1 Republican but it cast 15% fewer votes than in November. This is where Trump | 3.5× | 0 | 2.2k | 349 | 42 |
| 36 | Mar 13, '18 | Nights before elections are always the hardest to get to sleep. | 3.4× | 0 | 1.7k | 429 | 65 |
| 37 | Aug 6, '24 | My Tim Walz story: My junior year of high school (2008-2009), we got a new history teacher who had just moved to Charlotte, NC from Mankato, MN. He told us that, a few years earlie | 3.3× | 54k | 1.5k | 38 | 53 |
| 38 | Nov 10, '22 | Looks like NV *is* truly the Dems’ version of NC. | 3.3× | 0 | 2.7k | 115 | 23 |
| 39 | Nov 9, '22 | Rubio wins the early vote in Dade 53%-46% | 3.2× | 0 | 2k | 234 | 16 |
| 40 | Feb 26, '24 | This button always makes me laugh. Top-tier trolling. | 2.9× | 46k | 1.2k | 45 | 46 |
| 41 | Nov 12, '20 | Sun City, AZ -- one of the major retirement communities in the Phoenix metro -- saw a 6.4% swing to Biden: 2016 Trump -60.7% Clinton -36.1% 2020 Trump -58.8% Biden -40.6% | 2.5× | 0 | 1.7k | 157 | 29 |
| 42 | Sep 11, '19 | All but one of the Lumbee Indian precincts are in; they went from McCready (D) +21% in 2018 to Bishop (R) +3% tonight. #nc09 | 2.5× | 0 | 637 | 415 | 12 |
| 43 | Dec 5, '20 | In 1980, three congressmen got some bad press because they went on a trip to Florida and shared a condo with this lobbyist who was evidently a hot blonde. One of them was Dan Quayl | 2.4× | 0 | 1.6k | 184 | 51 |
| 44 | Dec 5, '20 | In northern AZ, the precincts that make up the Hopi & Navajo nations are deep blue: Clinton and Biden each won the area by 65%. But turnout was key. Biden's 35.6K raw vote marg | 2.4× | 0 | 1.4k | 277 | 27 |
| 45 | Jul 23, '20 | Don't care how much Biden is up by in FL polls, not moving it to Leans Dem until I see the Broward County ballot design. | 2.3× | 0 | 1.6k | 169 | 8 |
| 46 | Oct 7, '20 | Mark Kelly gives a shout out to McCain in the #AZSen debate. "He saved all of us" with his vote against ACA repeal in 2017. | 2.2× | 0 | 1.4k | 260 | 2 |
| 47 | Nov 13, '22 | Take a look at the 2024 Senate map. | 2.1× | 0 | 1.7k | 81 | 3 |
| 48 | Nov 12, '20 | Last night, @DecisionDeskHQ called Arizona for Biden. He got there, in large part, by flipping its most populous county, Maricopa. As with many Sun Belt metros, Biden broadly impro | 2.1× | 0 | 1.2k | 224 | 27 |
| 49 | Aug 3, '22 | incomplete results, but clearly a big night for Trump's candidate in MO | 2.0× | 0 | 1.5k | 128 | 16 |
| 50 | Dec 13, '17 | Etowah County, AL Gadsden Convention Hall #ALSen result (precinct with mall where Moore is banned): Jones - 755 (74.1%) Moore - 244 (24.0%) Write-Ins: 19 (1.9%) | 2.0× | 0 | 996 | 334 | 2 |
| 51 | Nov 22, '20 | Of the three Blue Wall states Biden flipped back, he won Michigan by the most (2.8% margin). But that was still less than what Obama carried Ohio by in 2012 (3.0%). Obama *really* | 1.9× | 0 | 1.4k | 92 | 21 |
| 52 | Oct 7, '20 | Sen. McSally calls her opponent "Counterfeit Kelly" to his face, but he still addresses her by her formal title. Seems gimmicky and unbecoming of her. #azsen | 1.9× | 0 | 1.3k | 131 | 2 |
| 53 | Nov 10, '20 | One of the biggest surprises of the 2020 election was Zapata County, TX. Trump became the first R pres. nominee since 1920 to carry this 94% Hispanic county. He got 2,032 votes the | 1.9× | 0 | 877 | 217 | 43 |
| 54 | Nov 2, '20 | Clinton 1992 🤝 Biden 2020 Beating R incumbents with GA but not FL | 1.9× | 0 | 1.3k | 128 | 22 |
| 55 | Apr 3, '19 | Democrats flipped Pennsylvania Senate District 37 tonight with @pamforpa, in the Pittsburgh suburbs. SD-37 was last up in 2016, when then-Sen. Guy Reschenthaler (R) won by 22% as T | 1.8× | 0 | 873 | 301 | 7 |
| 56 | Dec 25, '20 | My Christmas present from my family. | 1.8× | 0 | 1.5k | 15 | 9 |
| 57 | Nov 4, '20 | AP calls Iowa for Trump, and he leads by 7% rn. Selzer was right. | 1.8× | 0 | 1.3k | 112 | 6 |
| 58 | Mar 11, '20 | Basically all of Sanders' 2016 precincts in the northern/western parts of Oakland County, Michigan flipping to Biden. | 1.7× | 0 | 827 | 272 | 8 |
| 59 | Nov 25, '20 | What state gave the R nominee their largest raw vote margin each year? 1988: Florida 1992: Texas 1996: Texas 2000: Texas 2004: Texas 2008: Texas 2012: Texas 2016: Texas 2020: Tenne | 1.7× | 0 | 986 | 144 | 33 |
| 60 | Nov 6, '20 | Another one for the 'land doesn't vote' file: Biden is on track to flip GA while carrying one less county than Hillary did. | 1.7× | 0 | 1.3k | 92 | 14 |
| 61 | Aug 15, '22 | Possibly the most effective campaign flyer ever | 1.6× | 0 | 1.2k | 79 | 32 |
| 62 | Nov 5, '20 | In Wisconsin, Waukesha County was unambiguously crucial to Biden's coalition. Specifically, Biden's biggest gains over Gov. Tony Evers' 2018 map were in the WOW counties, around Mi | 1.6× | 0 | 831 | 168 | 25 |
| 63 | Nov 3, '21 | I say this a lot, but no state is permanently red or blue. | 1.5× | 0 | 1.1k | 83 | 9 |
| 64 | Sep 22, '21 | A power move FDR had: when he lost at poker, he’d only pay in checks, knowing that people would be reluctant to cash checks that had his signature. | 1.5× | 0 | 996 | 107 | 34 |
| 65 | Sep 28, '22 | CRYSTAL BALL: Two gubernatorial rating changes this morning, as #MIGov & #PAGov go to Likely Democratic. In both races, strong Democratic candidates are running against underfu | 1.5× | 0 | 908 | 159 | 7 |
| 66 | Jan 6, '21 | This got John Bel Edwards reelected and it's what put Doug Jones over the top in 2017. Black voters are still the heart and soul of the Democratic coalition the South. | 1.5× | 0 | 1k | 149 | 9 |
| 67 | Dec 2, '21 | A jump you don’t see often | 1.5× | 0 | 1.2k | 64 | 8 |
| 68 | Aug 24, '22 | Upstate NY was terrible for Dems in both 2010 and 2014. This doesn't feel like that. | 1.5× | 0 | 1k | 115 | 12 |
| 69 | Nov 4, '20 | Tillis now winning #NCSen by a bigger margin (1.75%) than what he got in 2014 (1.56%). | 1.4× | 0 | 907 | 136 | 7 |
| 70 | Jan 6, '21 | Back this summer, when Warnock was struggling to break 10% in some polls, his campaign told me, “Once we get to a runoff, we’re gonna be Doug Jones 2.0.” I was skeptical at the tim | 1.4× | 0 | 1.1k | 80 | 12 |
| 71 | Jun 16, '21 | POV: You're Scott Brown having a nightmare | 1.4× | 0 | 1k | 80 | 17 |
| 72 | Nov 9, '22 | this is just like watching the 2020 House elections again but with the Rs being the ones who underperform | 1.4× | 0 | 1k | 90 | 12 |
| 73 | Apr 2, '21 | RATINGS CHANGE COVID-19 risk: Toss-up -> Likely Immune | 1.4× | 0 | 1.1k | 21 | 8 |
| 74 | Mar 4, '20 | Political science junkies are gonna be studying these last few days for years. | 1.4× | 0 | 821 | 144 | 14 |
| 75 | Jan 23, '22 | Don Young | 1.3× | 0 | 960 | 59 | 34 |
| 76 | Mar 14, '18 | Lamb (D) won Moon Township by 6.5%. Trump carried it by 11% --> | 1.3× | 0 | 656 | 222 | 0 |
| 77 | Nov 12, '21 | "The new lines have split my constituents." lol, 89% of of his current constituents ended up in the district that he's leaving. | 1.3× | 0 | 990 | 75 | 19 |
| 78 | Aug 21, '20 | While we're all here, I'd like to thank @LarrySabato -- a big part of my job is talking to reporters and students about politics. That he trusts me to represent him like that, as a | 1.3× | 0 | 1.1k | 43 | 0 |
| 79 | Dec 7, '22 | Warnock carrying the Fulton County early vote 82%-18%. | 1.3× | 0 | 909 | 84 | 3 |
| 80 | Nov 11, '20 | # of towns in Minnesota that gave Trump >80% of the vote: 2016: 168 2020: 310 Most are small and can be easily drowned out by the Twin Cities on a statewide level, but this is w | 1.3× | 0 | 800 | 124 | 18 |
| 81 | Nov 6, '20 | Will accept my accolades when everyone else wakes up. | 1.3× | 0 | 1k | 47 | 4 |
| 82 | Oct 24, '20 | At debate, Al Gross brings out a sheet showing how many times Sullivan has tried to repeal the ACA #AKSen | 1.3× | 0 | 854 | 104 | 7 |
| 83 | Dec 5, '22 | CRYSTAL BALL: With the early vote, and some other indicators, looking promising for Warnock (D), the Georgia runoff goes to Leans Democratic. Walker (R) will want a strong Election | 1.2× | 0 | 747 | 121 | 10 |
| 84 | Aug 26, '22 | CRYSTAL BALL: With things on the upswing for Dems, 5 new rating changes -- all in their direction. | 1.2× | 0 | 886 | 54 | 14 |
| 85 | Dec 31, '20 | In 1991, when Edwin Edwards (known for his womanizing) was running against David Duke (former klansman) he said, “The only thing we have in common is we’re both wizards under the s | 1.2× | 0 | 836 | 78 | 34 |
| 86 | Nov 15, '21 | If Pelosi gets another term as Speaker, the three people furthest up in line to the presidency will all be women from San Francisco. | 1.2× | 0 | 783 | 73 | 17 |
| 87 | May 18, '22 | Crystal Ball rating change for #PAGov Toss-up -> Leans Democratic | 1.1× | 0 | 685 | 132 | 8 |
| 88 | Nov 9, '22 | With VA-7 about all in, Spanberger got almost 3K more votes than McAuliffe did there last year. Vega got 17K fewer than Youngkin. | 1.1× | 0 | 813 | 81 | 3 |
| 89 | Nov 9, '22 | Leahy is no longer the only Dem that VT has ever sent to the Senate | 1.1× | 0 | 826 | 70 | 3 |
| 90 | Nov 9, '22 | Warnock moves back ahead | 1.1× | 0 | 817 | 64 | 1 |
| 91 | Aug 29, '22 | You know it's getting bad when Con ET is unskewing Trafalgar polls. | 1.1× | 0 | 778 | 64 | 9 |
| 92 | Feb 25, '21 | My dad, a registered R till recently, is texting me rn saying that Tanden is a good choice. Meanwhile, my Democratic grandma (voted for Gov. Edwards and Trump) is telling me Biden | 1.1× | 0 | 810 | 45 | 12 |
| 93 | Feb 1, '22 | Question: How do you win in red states as a Democrat? @SenatorTester: Knock on EVERY door | 1.1× | 0 | 751 | 60 | 12 |
| 94 | Oct 31, '20 | Don't sleep on Al Gross | 1.0× | 0 | 729 | 83 | 3 |
| 95 | Feb 27, '22 | I thought guessing "shill" before "spill" on yesterday's Wordle was a good indication I spend too much time thinking about politics. | 1.0× | 0 | 851 | 12 | 7 |
| 96 | Oct 7, '20 | McSally cites her work with Kyrsten Sinema at the #AZSen debate. Sinema made an ad last week endorsing Kelly. | 1.0× | 0 | 672 | 110 | 0 |
| 97 | Apr 9, '21 | Nothing will change my mind on this | 1.0× | 0 | 771 | 41 | 12 |
| 98 | Mar 19, '22 | RIP I still think of this guy whenever I go to Walmart. I was hoping to get a another picture -- where I look less scruffy -- but I'm so thankful I have this one. | 1.0× | 0 | 760 | 50 | 7 |
| 99 | Feb 13, '21 | Left: How Election Twitter sees me Right: How my extended family sees me | 0.9× | 0 | 770 | 18 | 10 |
| 100 | Nov 6, '25 | The mood on this site today | 0.8× | 13k | 1.2k | 81 | 15 |
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