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The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru

@Garrett_Archer135k followers

Husband, Dad, Catholic liturgical music sponge. Former elections official. Now data/political analyst @abc15. Oracle of #ElectionTwitter. DGJ is cooler than me

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#DatePost↓ OutlierViewsLikesRepostsBookmarks
1Sep 19, '25Without summer, Phoenix would have the best climate on the planet.47.1×2.5M102k2.4k857
2Nov 5, '2420,800 people have voted in @maricopacounty so far. 9,421 GOP (45%) 7,068 Unaffiliated (34%) 3,906 Democratic (19%)32.4×1.7M6.5k756234
3Dec 24, '22JUST IN: Judge Thompson rules against @KariLake, finding no intentional misconduct by @maricopacounty. @katiehobbs will be sworn in as governor of Arizona.29.8×1.6M13k2.1k81
4Dec 20, '22JUST IN: Confirmed with AZSOS: @KariLake lawyers have withdrawn their subpoena of @SecretaryHobbs. She will not be testifying at tomorrow's hearing.29.2×1.5M8.6k99334
5Feb 16, '23JUST IN: AZ Court of Appeals has rejected @KariLake appeal and affirmed @katiehobbs election as governor. Ruling here:25.6×1.3M12k2.1k48
6Dec 17, '22BREAKING: @RealMarkFinchem lawsuit is dismissed with prejudice. Judge affirms @Adrian_Fontes election as Secretary Of State.19.2×1000k5.6k1.1k36
7Nov 15, '23I always like to remind myself that no matter what is being argued about on political Twitter it's the type of person that would click on this article that ultimately decides elect17.2×897k6.6k618192
8Apr 1, '24This is both rage bait and a lie. The intended address is 77 S Washington St, Seattle, which is the address for the Compass Housing Alliance. One of its services is to provide peop16.2×844k17k1.2k396
9Nov 6, '24MARICOPA Harris 50.51 Trump 48.3615.3×798k3.2k28667
10Nov 2, '24This is DreamWorks releasing Antz six weeks before Pixar drops A Bugs Life.14.9×775k5.7k262161
11Nov 2, '24She could have spiked the poll for fear of being outside the herd. She didn't. Respect.14.2×739k7k352147
12Dec 28, '22I am hearing there will be a significant discrepancy in favor of @AbrahamHamadeh in the recount results under seal until tomorrow morning. I'm told that the discrepancy will bring 13.7×712k4.8k1k45
13Jul 6, '23Running an experiment: There is zero evidence the 2020 election was stolen. Nothing. Nada. Zilch.13.2×689k5.2k19512
14Jan 2, '23.@katiehobbs has taken the oath of office as Governor of Arizona.13×675k13k1.2k8
15Apr 12, '23BREAKING: @LizHarrisMBA has been expelled from the Arizona House of Representatives.12.6×657k2.7k40850
16Oct 20, '25So a "potential noncitizen" error rate of 0.01%.11×572k16k948557
17Aug 11, '24This is a child's level understanding of elections. -Counties conduct elections so the total state population size is meaningless. -The time it takes for a highpro tabulator to cou9.9×514k7.3k885186
18Dec 22, '22JUST IN: @January6thCmte committee deposition of @kelliwardaz is out. She responded to every question with an invocation of the 5th amendment. Here are four pages.9.8×511k3.3k1k56
19Nov 10, '24BREAKING @DecisionDeskHQ has called @#AZSEN for @RubenGallego9.0×470k3.5k31041
20Nov 5, '2424 hours from now. Maricopa Incoming.8.9×465k4.9k173101
21Oct 16, '23Jonathan Nez, former president of the Navajo Nation is running for Congress in #az02. It's a double digit R seat, but Nez is as strong a candidate as Ds could have.8.7×453k3.1k55417
22Nov 6, '24Trump is doing gangbusters in Arizona's two most Hispanic counties right now compared to Santa Cruz (83% Hispanic) 2020: 31.7 2024: 36.6 Yuma (65% Hispanic) 2020: 52.3 2024: 64.28.3×434k3.7k536137
23Oct 30, '24Many election officials are already doing 12 hour days. Officials in Clark County, WA will now tack on several more hours to contact these voters. This is who works our elections. 8.3×430k8.9k1.6k161
24Nov 28, '22BREAKING: @maricopacounty has certified the 2022 General Election by a unanimous vote.7.9×019k2.6k31
25Nov 12, '22The Maricopa batch is 74k. @katiehobbs 54% @karilake 45.9%7.1×019k1.6k58
26Oct 22, '22BREAKING: Taken just a little while ago at the @maricopacounty Mesa drop box location. Two masked individuals in tactical gear observing the drop box.6.8×010k3.7k240
27Oct 14, '25BREAKING: Arizona's Congressional District 7 general election canvass has been signed, sealed, and transmit to the clerk of the US House. @AdelitaForAZ is now legally the district'5.7×298k9k1.2k134
28Nov 6, '24Maricopa results Prop 139 (Abortion Access) Yes 63.7 No: 36.35.6×292k3k29833
29Oct 23, '22This evening's Mesa drop box watchers covered up their license plate.5.6×09.8k3k116
30Aug 9, '24We are being told today's @KamalaHarris rally in Glendale had 25,000 total ticket requests. The venue holds ~20,000 in concert style seating.5.5×288k4.1k68268
31Sep 19, '25A reminder that social media is oftentimes not real life.5.3×278k15k1.1k407
32Sep 26, '24This dude thinks identifiable barcodes are on the literal ballot. Wow. Envelope my man. The barcode is on the envelope.4.9×255k2.5k26030
33Oct 20, '22BREAKING confirmed by @SecretaryHobbs office. A complaint has been filed with the AG and DOJ for voter intimidation. It happened Monday at the Mesa drop box location when a voter s4.6×09.7k2.7k75
34Nov 21, '22JUST IN: Mohave County has voted to delay certification of election results until Nov. 28. BOS member says it is a political statement of solidarity with other counties that have d4.3×011k1.8k38
35Sep 10, '24So, this may come as a surprise to some, but US citizens that are experiencing homelessness still have the right to vote in the US Constitution. States legally must afford workarou4.2×217k5.8k956152
36Nov 13, '22The Maricopa batch is 85k @karilake 51.8% @katiehobbs 48.2%4.1×010k1.2k42
37Nov 14, '2297k ballots dropped in Maricopa @KariLake 54.6% @katiehobbs 45.4% Lake net gain +8,9114.0×09.5k1.1k49
38Jun 27, '23SCOTUS just gave a hard no to people that believe state legislatures can just nullify an election because reasons and feelz.4.0×209k3.5k40511
39Nov 6, '24Ruben Gallego currently has a 100k vote lead on Kari Lake.3.9×202k2.9k15817
40Feb 2, '23The Twitter "for you" tab is horrible. That's the tweet. Not that anyone will see it.3.7×193k2.8k1951
41Nov 28, '22Public speaker is now accusing Maricopa County BOS of capital treason.3.4×08.7k1.3k24
42Nov 5, '22A brief PSA: You don't have to like that Arizona will take about a week to finish counting the early vote drop offs. It is a function of statute. So next week, please think before 3.1×06.7k1.1k62
43Nov 6, '20Apache county just posted 2,223 ballots. Breakdown: Biden: 1,805(81.2%) Trump: 396 (17.8%) This county encompasses the Navajo Nation. Trump now trails Biden 57,8443.0×07.5k1.1k34
44Nov 12, '22Mohave County has tabulated 10,092ballots Est. 1,300 remaining. Batch breakdown Governor @KariLake 78.9 @katiehobbs 21 Senate @bgmasters 76.2 @CaptMarkKelly 21.4 AZSOS @RealMarkFin2.9×06.9k1.4k20
45Nov 15, '22Now that the major races are called I'm ending batch coverage of Arizona's 2022 general. I'm grateful for all that followed along. It was so much fun I think we will do it again in2.9×08.4k26818
46Sep 6, '24I swear, it's like dealing with a gaggle of preschoolers.2.9×149k3.3k23149
47Nov 6, '20This is big. Pima county, the liberal stronghold of Arizona, just posted 28,344 ballots. Breakdown Biden: 13,045 (46%) Trump: 14,484 (51.1%) Trump now trails Biden by 56,547 in Ari2.4×05.1k1.1k52
48Nov 9, '22BREAKING: Judge rules against RNC. Vote centers will close at 7pm. If you are in line though, stay in line. You will have the opportunity to vote.2.4×06.2k1.1k15
49Nov 15, '22The Maricopa batch is 71k. @KariLake 56.82 @katiehobbs 43.17 Lake net gain of 9,7502.4×05.2k69331
50Aug 3, '22Maricopa's final election day batch was 47,474 votes in the R gov race. Breakdown: @KariLake 65.4% @Karrin4Arizona 29.6% Lake now leads by 1,958 votes.2.3×05.9k92112
51Nov 11, '2278k ballots posted to Maricopa. @katiehobbs netted an additional 7,494 votes. I'll have the rest of the breakdowns in a moment. @katiehobbs 54.8 @karilake 45.12.1×05.4k61028
52Nov 8, '20Maricopa county tabulated 6,862 ballots to the Presidential contest. Breakdown Biden: 3,753 (55%) Trump: 2,999 (44%) Biden leads Trump by 20,102 in the state. What's left: 42k regu2.0×04.3k89627
53Nov 15, '22.@AP has called the race for @katiehobbs.2.0×05.5k4917
54Nov 12, '22Not that I want to rain on anyone's party. But a reminder that based on the affidavit transmission party data we still have some very, very friendly batches coming for R slate in M1.9×04.5k69332
55Aug 1, '22JUST IN: @GeneralBrnovich Concludes investigation into 2020 dead voters. "Some were so absurd at names and birth dates did not match the deceased." "Many were very surprised to lea1.8×03.3k984220
56Nov 12, '22Maricopa Incoming.1.8×04.8k4078
57Nov 9, '228PM drop Maricopa: 842k ballots @KariLake 42 @katiehobbs 581.7×04.2k5138
58Dec 1, '22BREAKING The @CochiseCountyAZ board of supervisors has certified the 2022 General Election. All Arizona counties are now canvassed.1.7×04.2k5508
59Nov 14, '22Our estimates did mostly line up. Tonight was the start of the GOP cavalry charge.1.6×04.4k34728
60Nov 15, '22.@DecisionDeskHQ has projected the race for @katiehobbs1.6×04.2k4088
61Nov 12, '22According to @nytimes results page, @KariLake outperformed Trump in Yuma county by 7 points. This is a real world indicator of Hispanic R vote shift due to the county's demos.1.6×04k63630
62Nov 24, '20Getting this in now: State...UNOFFICIAL results have Biden and Trump separated by 4,202 votes right now. This morning it was 10,377. The difference? A faulty upload from Greenlee c1.6×02.8k80683
63Jul 14, '21JUST IN: US House Committee on Oversight and Reform is launching an investigation into the @ArizonaAudit1.6×02.7k81134
64Nov 12, '22La Paz County has tabulated 849 ballots They are count complete. Batch breakdown Governor @KariLake 75 @katiehobbs 25 Senate @bgmasters 71.3 @CaptMarkKelly 25.9 AZSOS @RealMarkFinc1.5×03.8k6976
65Nov 13, '22Pima incoming. 12k ballots. Processing shortly.1.5×04.4k3727
66Aug 4, '22With the total number of GOP votes in, combined with what is left outstanding it is a near certainty at this point that Republicans will smash turnout records for a primary.1.5×04.1k55115
67Nov 21, '20Maricopa county has unanimously certified the 2020 General Election canvass.1.5×04.4k3769
69Oct 23, '22More armed watchers at the Mesa drop box this evening. Photo taken by someone that went to watch the watchers. @mcsoaz came over to ask everyone to get out of each other's personal1.5×02.9k86528
70Nov 12, '22.@AP has called the race for @CaptMarkKelly1.5×04.2k3751
71Nov 12, '22Yavapai County has tabulated 10,087 ballots Est. 1,983 remain (98% complete) Batch breakdown Governor @KariLake 73.2 @katiehobbs 26.8 Senate @bgmasters 70.3 @CaptMarkKelly 27.4 AZS1.5×03.4k73310
72Jul 17Hang it in the Smithsonian.1.4×75k2k285166
73Nov 12, '20Maricopa county has posted 13,143 ballots. Breakdown: Biden: 5,826 (44.3%) Trump: 7,019 (53.4%) Biden leads Trump in Arizona by 11,635 votes.1.4×03.1k51716
74Nov 5, '20I cannot be stopped.1.4×04k41215
75Nov 21, '22Maricopa County has posted final results. The last batch was 1,372 ballots that broke 63/37 for the R slate. @AbrahamHamadeh net 340 votes. He will go into the automatic recount tr1.4×03.1k58220
76Nov 12, '22.@NBCNews has called the Arizona Secretary of State race for @Adrian_Fontes1.4×03.6k4033
77Nov 14, '20Maricopa no longer incoming.1.4×04.1k22423
78Aug 3, '22.@karilake is now ahead of @Karrin4Arizona by 1,033 votes in Arizona.1.4×03.4k44611
79Nov 10, '22Pima County (Tucson) has posted 12,413 ballots. Batch breakdown Governor @KariLake 32.8 @katiehobbs 67.2 Senate @bgmasters 29.3 @CaptMarkKelly 68.5 AZSOS @RealMarkFinchem 31.2 @Adr1.3×03.1k41721
80Nov 12, '22.@AP has called the Arizona Secretary of State race for Democrat @Adrian_Fontes1.3×03.6k3296
81Nov 14, '22This is it folks. The vast majority of what is left in Maricopa is incoming tonight. It's the Final Countdown...probably.1.3×03k50425
82Nov 14, '22There were no box 3 ballots in this last batch from Maricopa county.1.3×03k49310
83Sep 1, '22.@KariLake will have a press conference tonight at 6pm in response to @POTUS remarks.1.3×02.9k5454
84Nov 15, '22Several sources confirm to me that yesterday, several key members of the @KariLake campaign left the war room. I'm told they (those that left) saw no viable path once the race was 1.3×03.5k30423
85Nov 12, '20I don't know, that last Maricopa incoming sure felt like it had a lot of closure attached to it. I'm thinking it might be time to exit stage right (or left, whatever), pop open the1.3×03.8k1027
86Nov 11, '22Maricopa Incoming.1.3×03.6k2299
87Nov 7, '20Just so we're all clear. The Cindy McCains of Arizona are on the cusp of giving this state to Joe Biden.1.2×03.4k24415
88Nov 15, '22Maricopa Incoming.1.2×03.2k2883
89Nov 11, '22.@bgmasters called me the "Shadow Secretary of State." That's going on a mug. :)1.2×03.7k13815
90Nov 19, '22That last Maricopa incoming of 2,421 ballots broke for the D slate and expanded @krismayes lead to 570 over @AbrahamHamadeh.1.2×03k2977
91Nov 6, '20Coconino county posted 5,713 ballots. Breakdown: Biden: 2,953 (51.7%) Trump: 2,568 (45%) Coconino is a liberal county, home to Navajo Nation tribal land and Flagstaff. (also, the G1.2×03k37729
92Nov 11, '20Pima county tabulated 4,589 ballots to the presidential contest. Breakdown: Biden: 2,346 (51%) Trump: 2,129 (46.4%) Biden now leads Trump 13,027 in Arizona.1.2×02.8k40212
93Nov 12, '22.@cnn has called the race for @CaptMarkKelly1.1×03.2k2663
94Nov 12, '22.@DecisionDeskHQ has called the race for @CaptMarkKelly1.1×03k3327
95Nov 10, '22I can't do my magic until the results hit the AZSOS page. They're not there yet. But it's clear that the 62k ballots dropped in Maricopa were friendly to the D candidates.1.1×03.1k25615
96Nov 14, '22Maricopa Incoming.1.1×03k2494
97Dec 1, '22BREAKING: Judge orders @CochiseCountyAZ Board of Supervisors to canvass the 2022 General Election. Today.1.0×02.7k35312
98Nov 13, '22Maricopa Incoming.1.0×02.9k2294
99Nov 21, '22One last time this year with feeling everyone... Maricopa Incoming.1.0×03k1725
100Nov 14, '20Maricopa county has tabulated 424 votes for the Presidential contest. Breakdown: Biden: 221 (52%) Trump: 185 (43%) Biden leads Trump in Arizona by 11,022 votes. Maricopa has comple1.0×02.8k25416
101Nov 15, '22.@cnn has called the race for @katiehobbs1.0×02.8k2143

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