Arthur Hayes

@CryptoHayes813k followers

Arthur Hayes, CEO of @Flop_Labs & CIO @Maelstromfund

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1Jan 27, '25Reversing the order of my tryptic essay series. The Ugly will be published tomorrow morning. I am calling for a $70k to $75k correction in $BTC, a mini financial crisis, and a resu26×3M5.7k5861.5k
2Mar 18, '23In case you don’t comprehend how serious the US banking problems are:17.9×2M4.6k1.1k360
3Apr 7, '25So close fam. Oh what shall I do, if $BTC breaks below $76,500 my credibility will be in tatters ... 😅😅😅😅😅😅 BUY THE FUCKING DIP MOTHER FUCKER!15.9×1.8M4.2k340150
4Feb 21, '25.@VitalikButerin will you advocate to roll back the chain to help @Bybit_Official ?13.9×1.6M3.3k218170
5Sep 25, '25한국 사랑해요12.3×1.4M5.1k178626
6Mar 24, '25I bet $BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k. Y? The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don’t matter cause “transitory inflation”. JAYPOW told me so. I’ll exp11.5×1.3M6.6k697762
7Mar 13, '23Are you ready for the mother fucking bull market?11.3×1.3M6.7k80893
8Mar 11, '25The plan: Be fucking patient. $BTC likely bottoms around $70k. 36% correction from $110k ATH, v normal for a bull market. Then we need stonks, $SPX and $NDX to enter free fall. The11×1.3M7.1k9731.9k
9Dec 22, '23Fam ... I have a confession to make. I received a msg from the Lord while meditating. He said dump that Sam coin POS, and profess your love for Archangel Vitalik. So I dumped $SOL,10.7×1.2M5.3k599220
10Mar 25, '25$ETH to $5k before $SOL to $300. Who is with me?10.4×1.2M7.8k554251
11Oct 10, '25Caption contest, whatever I think is the funniest / most insulting comment wins 10 ZEC.8.8×1M3.2k180205
12Aug 5, '24My TradFi birdies are telling me somebody big got smoked, and is dumping all #crypto. No idea if this is true, I won't name names, but let the fam know if you are hearing the same?8.8×1M3.3k246308
13Aug 9, '25Had to buy it all back, do you forgive me @fundstrat ? I pinky swear, I'll never take profit again. 😘😘😘😘😘8.7×987k3.6k257160
14Mar 16, '23"Kaiseki" is an essay about how the #banktermfundingprogram is Yield Curve Control by another name. Get ready for infinite money printing and $BTC $1 million.8.2×935k2.5k601505
15Nov 2, '23Fam I have something embarrassing I must admit. I just bot $SOL, I know its a Sam-coin piece of dogshit L1 that at this point is just a meme. But it is going up, and I'm a degen. L8.2×928k2.9k25483
16Mar 20, '231/ Swap lines what's going on? TLDR another way to bailout non-US banks that isn't obvious to the average person.8.0×913k3k750688
17Oct 11, '25Word on the street is that big CEX’s auto liquidation of collateral tied to cross margined positions is why lots of alts got smoked on the move down. Congrats to all you stink bidd8.0×905k4.3k396605
18Sep 6, '24$BTC is heavy, I’m gunning for sub $50k this weekend. I took a cheeky short. Pray for my soul, for I am a degen.7.9×899k3k197171
19Apr 8, '25If not the Fed then the PBOC will give us the yachtzee ingredients. CNY deval = narrative that Chinese capital flight will flow into $BTC. It worked in 2013 , 2015, and can work in7.9×898k2.7k361279
20Mar 3, '25Nothing new here. Just words. Lmk when they get congressional approval to borrow money and or revalue the gold price higher. Without that they have no money to buy #bitcoin and #sh7.9×894k2.5k257251
21Apr 11, '25And that’s a wrap folks. Buy everything!7.6×870k6.4k745331
22Apr 14, '23Allow me to reintroduce myself. My name is ALTSZN!!!7.4×837k3.2k36938
23Feb 10, '25To all you shitcoin founders about to TGE. Work with your market makers and exchange partners to open the market at lower prices. This chart is ugly not cause the project is dogshi7.2×824k3.8k296337
24Jan 14, '23It’s up only time mofos 😝😝😝😝😝6.0×688k4.3k14421
25Oct 26, '25Vibe check $ZEC to $10k5.9×670k2.5k320202
26Apr 26, '24As expected tax receipts added roughly $200bn to TGA. Forget about the May Fed meeting the 2Q24 refunding annc comes out next week. What games will Yellen play, here are some optio5.7×644k2.8k505729
27Oct 14, '25There you have it, QT is over. Back up the fucking truck and buy everything.5.4×617k6.4k752525
28Apr 4, '25$BTC hodlers need to learn to love tariffs, maybe we finally broke the correlation with Nasdaq, and can move onto the purest form of a fiat liquidity smoke alarm.5.4×614k4.9k547307
29Mar 18, '23I am so ready for alt szn. The amount of dogshit we gonna be slinging is gonna be next level.5.4×611k3.9k40967
30Feb 25, '25Now we chill out, retrace, and wait. If Trump can't pass his budget which spends more and hikes debt ceiling, resume capitulation to levels pre the election day victory $75k to $705.3×603k2.5k285445
31Jul 10, '25Arise Chikun, it's time... $ETH = $10,000 Yachtzee😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍5.3×598k5.6k612345
32Feb 3, '23Little birdie told me @KyleLDavies and @zhusu completed their raise. Must be the beginnings of a bull market if these muppets get money less than one year after they torched $18 bi5.1×582k3.1k32371
33Jul 21, '25Fam can we pump $ETH to $5k by Friday?4.6×525k3.9k19670
34Nov 6, '23Competition is amazing. If the US has its proxy asset mngr, BlackRock, launching an ETF, China needs its proxy asset mngr to launch one too. The US v China economic war is great fo4.3×487k2.8k501135
35Mar 19, '23It's All Over!!! This what happens when no one wants to hold USD in banks that can't borrow from the Fed using #banktermfundingprogram. Not sure how the Fed can hike when its handi4.1×467k2.4k37376
36Apr 9, '25We are green lit for Fed intervention.4.0×456k4.1k434274
37Apr 2, '25Mrkt no likey "Liberation Day", if $BTC can hold $76.5k btw now and US tax day Apr 15, then we are out of the woods. Don't get chopped up!4.0×456k3.2k311320
38Jul 11, '25I was slightly bearish in my last essay due to TGA refill. What changed? $BTC busted through ATH on good volume $ETH is following and will outperform, get ready for a monster alt s3.9×446k3.3k361198
39Nov 15, '23Keep ur eye on the prize. Almost $200bn liquidity injected since the start of Nov as RRP balance falls and TGA balance hasn’t changed. Risk assets like $BTC and #crypto will contin3.9×445k2.6k518197
40Apr 5, '25THE END: Of US Treasuries and to a lesser extent US stocks as the global reserve asset. Since Nixon took the US off the gold standard in 1971, US treasury debt outstanding grew by 3.9×441k3.5k5671k
41Mar 28, '25Thank you @POTUS3.8×431k3.1k19256
43Nov 7, '25It's just ludicrous. $ZEC to $10k3.7×417k2.5k275111
44Apr 4, '25This weekend $BTC faces the Final Boss are you ready fam?3.6×412k4.2k285151
45Apr 21, '25Like the Easter bunny, bounce bounce bounce bounce bounce! Seriously fam, this might be the last chance you have to buy $BTC < $100k 😉😉😉😉. New essay drops this week about Th3.6×409k3.7k385181
46Dec 5, '23Who is ready for a weekend alt szn green doji piss up? Can we send $SOL over $100? Let’s do it fam 🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡🫡3.6×405k2.7k26569
47Nov 1, '23Let's play "Hide the Bailout", it's my fav game because politics is all about misdirection. Everyone scrutinises every line of the Fed balance sheet, so they can't hide them there 3.6×404k2.7k508314
48Jun 6, '23The wall of worry is being climbed, come with me on the $BTC bull market bus. We are still on struggle street , but the moon ain’t far away.3.5×400k3.2k36039
49Jul 18, '22Where can I buy this shirt?3.5×09.6k596147
50Apr 11, '25It’s on like donkey kong. We will be getting more policy response this weekend if this keeps up. We are about to enter UP ONLY mode for $BTC.3.5×398k4.4k556258
51Aug 5, '24That was the first wave. Now we wait for bodies of TradFi over leveraged muppets to surface. Then wave 2 begins. If there is going to be a bailout the mrkt needs to deliver more pa3.5×396k3.2k293270
52Nov 10, '23This summer I visited the ancestors in Rapa Nui and I asked them when the bull market would arrive? They told me to be patient, read the words of the Lord, and I would know when to3.4×387k3.2k372109
53Sep 16, '25With Fed board member Miran now confirmed, the MSM is preparing the world for the Fed's "third mandate" which is essentially yield curve control. LFG! YCC -> $BTC = $1m3.3×373k2.6k323402
54Apr 4, '25Some of y'all are running scurred, but I LOVE TARIFFS, some chart porn to understand why. Global imbalances will be corrected, and the pain papered over with printed money, which i3.2×369k3.3k381548
55Feb 28, '25We are making lower lows in this current wave. I was tempted to add risk this morning, but looking at this price action I think we have one more violent wave down below $80k, most 3.2×363k2.7k247190
56Mar 16, '22What happens when you "cancel" the world's largest energy producer ... ? "Energy Cancelled" is an essay on why the post-1971 Petro / Eurodollar regime died on 26 February 2022. Are3.1×05k1.3k640
57Jul 16, '25It's $ETH szn, so time for a new PFP. Let's run it back turbo: DeFi, NFT ... Yachtzee 😍😍😍😍😍😍😍3.1×348k2.9k22664
58Jun 22, '25Do you hear that? … it’s the sound of the money printers revving up to do their patriotic duty. This weakness shall pass and $BTC will leave no doubt as to its safe haven status.3.0×345k4.4k447213
59Apr 6, '25Volatility is back baby. I fucking love this shit. Going to be a fun week.2.9×335k3.5k18574
60Apr 9, '25The Fed is on the clock, shit is breaking down. Stocks down, 10-yr yield down, good! (prev) Stocks down, 10-yr yield up, bad! (now) Mrkt finally realising that if there are less ex2.9×334k3.1k335329
61Apr 7, '25If ur trying to predict when the Fed caves and goes Brrr, watch the bond vol MOVE Index. As it goes higher anyone doing financed treasury or corp bond trades will be forced to sell2.9×332k3.1k4131.2k
62Aug 7, '24Just so I'm clear. BTFD! cause the BOJ caved. I will follow up "Spirited Away" next week with an essay focused on the US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcement and the injection2.8×314k2.9k307247
63May 19, '25Quite a move, The BBC is on notice. If this bleeds into higher vol in the MOVE Index, expect IMMEDIATE POLICY ACTION. Translation = Brrrrr2.7×312k2.7k320189
64Oct 3, '25Stimmies - FUCK YES2.7×307k3k14158
65Jan 6, '22The money printer ain't going BRRR, so #crypto is about to get bludgeoned with a two-by-four studded with rusty nails. Read my essay "Maelstrom" to find out why.2.7×03.9k834900
66Apr 7, '25Been nibbling on $BTC all day, and shall continue. Shitcoins are getting in our strike zone but I think #bitcoin dominance keeps zooming towards 70%. So we are not gorging at the s2.7×302k3.5k288161
67Apr 3, '25Trump’s tariff formula is further evidence he is laser focused on reversing these imbalances. The problem for treasuries is that without $ exports foreigners can’t buy bonds. The F2.6×299k3.7k460426
68Nov 9, '221/ What happens now that Baron CZ passed on FTX bailout and SBF is bankrupt. The next question is who could save FTX?2.5×04.8k970457
69Oct 23, '25Welcome to the club @cz_binance2.4×276k2.6k10456
70May 12, '25BUY EVERYTHING CHI-MERICA LIVES!!!!2.4×270k2.7k357172
71Mar 12, '24The bull market has begun its time to left curve everything.2.4×268k2.5k26577
72Dec 1, '23It’s December and I don’t know about you but I’m ready for an old white man to give me some gifts. JAYPOW cut the fucking rates and send $BTC 2 Da Moon!2.3×265k2.6k27648
73Oct 25, '221/ Guess who is pumping $BTC and $ETH2.2×04.1k893304
74Nov 10, '24I fucking love a weekend #crypto pump. Reminds me of the old days.2.1×238k4.4k22223
75Jul 11, '22The #DoomLoop has begun. 1 USD = 1 EUR. Prepare yourselves for YCC and $BTC = $1 million. But please be patient, these things take time.2.1×04.3k771214
76Feb 1, '23JAYPOW be like …2.0×230k2.7k27930
77Feb 2, '24TGIF Bitches! Now it’s time for some bank failures and fresh monetary pow from Powell and Yellen. $BTC = $1mm1.9×221k2.7k14048
78Jul 20, '25Degens how are we going to celebrate $ETH = $4,000?1.9×218k2.9k20356
80Dec 5, '24The pre-rich phase is officially over. Welcome to the bull market bitches.1.9×211k3.1k25973
81Jun 14, '22Here we go ... 1/ Looking at onchain data for $wBTC and $ETH, the liquidations have mostly happened. Data visualization from @parsec_finance1.8×03.3k701469
82Apr 22, '25For those of you who refuse to respect the $BTC pump, I only have one question for you ...1.8×201k2.6k14054
83Nov 9, '22I used to call you on my $SOL phone …1.8×04.4k46837
84Apr 22, '25Trump says he wants to fire JAYPOW - dollar dips, $BTC rips Trump says he has no intention of firing JAYPOW - dollar rips, $BTC rips some more Fuck yeah, this is the kind of price 1.7×195k4.2k25890
85Feb 18, '21Black is back. My opening salvo for 2021 just dropped called Walkaway, I look forward to reengaging with everyone via fortnightly publications. It's a #bitcoin bull market, if you 1.7×03.1k44779
86Jun 26, '25Bull market checklist: - UST SLR exemption progressing - Genius Act hands US stablecoin mrkt to banks, next essay will explain y +ve - Ignore the reality, Trump, Bibi, and Kahmenei1.7×188k2.6k265185
87Sep 29, '22Based!1.6×04.5k35430
88Nov 8, '22FTX = Lehman That wasn’t the bottom. $SPX hit 666 in March of 2009. Therefore $17,500 BTC is at risk. How ‘bout dem puts now…1.5×03.8k366100
89Nov 11, '24The sun is rising on $BTC $100k. Fuck Fiat1.5×170k4.3k15144
90Apr 11, '22Beware of "The Q Trap" ... Read on to find out when to start dumpster diving for #bitcoin and #ether.1.5×02.4k494385
91Jun 18, '22#Bitcoin, are you okay? So, Bitcoin, are you okay? Are you okay, Bitcoin? You've been hit by- You've been struck by- The Central Banker1.5×03.5k39956
92Nov 8, '22Who is yo fucking daddy! I’m speechless.1.4×03.9k26162
93Jun 1, '22What do big macs, the fed, and #crypto have in common?1.4×02.4k512195
94Nov 8, '22I just bought some $15k strike $BTC puts.1.4×03k21667
95Nov 17, '22It’s #crypto winter, and I have instituted a shoot on sight order for any bears.1.3×03.6k17841
96Feb 4, '20Is it called Ripple, XRP, or dogshit? Who knows, who cares. It’s worth more than zero so it’s time to trade the USD pair on BitMEX. Boo-Yaka-sha!1.3×02.5k32025
97Jan 11, '24Good morning bitches, welcome to the bull market.1.1×125k2.6k11118
98Dec 9, '22When I need to get my daily dose of veggies, I take a bite out of this lil’ soy boy. Helps me stay swoll.1.1×02.9k20523
99May 7, '20Paul Tudor Jones just removed career risk from investing in #bitcoin. Expect a lot of beta fund managers to begin cooking some copy pasta.1.0×02.4k43236
100Sep 22NEW interviews from Maelstroms Chief Arthur Hayes The latest insights on Digital Assets Financial Markets and Web3 IssueWire1.0×116k2011819
101Nov 20, '22When an entity holding #crypto won’t publish a proof of reserves, we then get to play a fun game of “Pull and Pray”. May the lord be with you.0.9×02.2k21525

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