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Britain Elects

@BritainElects324k followers

Most accurate forecaster of 2024. Co-founded by @BNHWalker and Lily Jayne Summers. Join our Discord!

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1Jan 25, '23Westminster voting intention: LAB: 50% (+5) CON: 21% (-) via @PeoplePolling, 24 Jan30.8×3.2M3.8k80021
2Oct 6, '23Rutherglen and Hamilton West parliamentary by-election, result: LAB: 58.6% (+24.1) SNP: 27.6% (-16.6) CON: 3.9% (-11.1) LDEM: 2.9% (-2.2) GRN: 2.0% (+2.0) REF: 1.3% (+1.3) Labour G17.3×1.8M4.4k92659
3Jan 13, '23Moor View (Plymouth) council by-election result: LAB: 53.2% (+23.9) CON: 33.0% (-30.5) IND: 6.9% (+6.9) GRN: 3.3% (-1.1) LDEM: 2.9% (+0.6) TUSC: 0.7% (+0.2) Votes cast: 2,658 Labou9.5×1M3.8k69613
4Nov 1, '24❗ Reform GAIN from Labour Bilston North (Wolverhampton) council by-election result: REF: 34.8% (+34.8) LAB: 25.1% (-38.0) GRN: 23.4% (+11.4) CON: 13.7% (-11.2) LDEM: 2.9% (+2.9) +/8.8×923k6.2k973138
5Feb 2, '23Net approval of Prime Ministers on/near day 100 into the job: Tony Blair: +50 Gordon Brown: +26 David Cameron: +27 Theresa May: +19 Boris Johnson: -3 Rishi Sunak: -18 BE's @BNHWalk7.0×742k4.2k1.4k37
6Jun 8, '17Holy shit.6.4×016k9.2k16
7Dec 21, '22On whether Britain should rejoin / stay out of the European Union: Rejoin: 45.0% (+6.3) Stay out: 38.7% (-1.6) Chgs. w/ last year. Detail:5.9×622k3.7k93242
8Sep 29, '22Westminster voting intention: LAB: 54% (+9) CON: 21% (-7) LDEM: 7% (-2) GRN: 6% (-1) via @YouGov, 28 - 29 Sep Chgs. w/ 25 Sep5.8×015k3.3k170
9Dec 17, '21North Shropshire, parliamentary by-election result: LDEM: 47.2% (+37.2) CON: 31.6% (-31.1) LAB: 9.7% (-12.4) GRN: 4.6% (+1.4) REFUK: 3.8% (+3.8) LDem GAIN from Con.4.3×013k2.4k76
10May 30, '19Westminster voting intention: LDem: 24% (+6) Brex: 22% (+4) Con: 19% (-5) Lab: 19% (-5) Grn: 8% (+2) via @YouGov Chgs. w/ 17 May4.1×07.5k3.5k57
11Jan 12, '22Westminster voting intention: LAB: 38% (+1) CON: 28% (-5) LDEM: 13% (+3) GRN: 7% (+1) REFUK: 4% (-1) via @YouGov3.7×011k2.2k70
12Sep 26, '20Westminster voting intention: LAB: 42% (+3) CON: 39% (-3) via @OpiniumResearch Chgs. w/ 11 Sep3.6×011k2.4k41
13May 31, '17Westminster voting intention: CON: 42% (-1) LAB: 39% (+3) LDEM: 7% (-2) UKIP: 4% (-) (via @YouGov / 30 - 31 May)3.6×06.1k4.6k0
14May 25, '17Westminster voting intention: CON: 43% (-1) LAB: 38% (+3) LDEM: 10% (+1) UKIP: 4% (+1) (via @YouGov / 24 - 25 May)3.5×05.5k4.2k0
15Jun 10, '17Westminster voting intention: LAB: 45% (+5) CON: 39% (-3) LDEM: 7% (-) UKIP: 3% (+1) (via @Survation / 10 Jun) Chgs. w/ GE20173.4×06.9k4.4k4
16Nov 30, '19Westminster voting intention: CON: 39% (-2) LAB: 33% (+5) LDEM: 13% (-5) GRN: 5% (-) BREX: 4% (+1) via @BMGResearch, 27 - 29 Nov Chgs. w/ 21 Nov3.3×09.1k2.4k43
17Oct 14, '20Scottish independence voting intention: Yes: 58% No: 42% via @IpsosMORI, 02 - 09 Oct3.1×08.3k2.2k41
18May 26, '19UKIP Leader Gerard Batten has lost his London seat.3.0×011k1.7k6
19May 29, '25❗ Reform GAIN from Labour Lliedi (Carmarthenshire) council by-election result: REF: 42.6% (+42.6) LAB: 23.4% (-34.8) IND: 8.7% (-17.4) PC: 8.0% (+8.0) CON: 7.0% (-8.8) +/- 20222.9×301k5.1k80954
20May 25, '18Irish Times #Referendum2018 exit poll: Yes (#repealthe8th): 68% No (#savethe8th): 32% via2.8×06.8k3k4
21Dec 17, '21Liberal Democrat GAIN North Shropshire from Conservative.2.8×012k1.2k19
22Oct 29, '20Jeremy Corbyn MP has been suspended by the Labour Party.2.7×05.8k1.3k47
23Jun 3, '17Westminster voting intention: CON: 40% (-6) LAB: 39% (+5) LDEM: 8% (-) UKIP: 5% (+2) (via @Survation / 03 Jun)2.7×04.6k3.3k0
24Dec 13, '19BREAKING: Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn is to resign and will not lead the party into a future general election.2.6×06.5k1.7k44
25Apr 17, '19European Parliament voting intention: BREX: 27% LAB: 22% CON: 15% GRN: 10% LDEM: 9% UKIP: 7% CHUK: 6% via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr2.5×04.5k2.3k28
26Jun 24, '22Labour GAIN Wakefield from Conservative.2.5×011k89212
27Dec 3, '19London, Westminster voting intention: LAB: 47% (+8) CON: 30% (+1) LDEM: 15% (-4) GRN: 4% (-1) BREX: 3% (-3) via @YouGov, 28 Nov - 02 Dec Chgs. w/ Nov2.4×07.6k1.9k30
28Jan 17, '22Westminster voting intention: LAB: 43% (+4) CON: 30% (-5) LDEM: 9% (-3) GRN: 7% (+2) REFUK: 4% (-) via @RedfieldWilton, 17 Jan Chgs. w/ 10 Jan2.4×08.1k1.4k49
29Oct 20, '22Does Britain want Boris Johnson back?2.4×05.2k26915
30Jun 15, '17Public opinion towards... May: Favourable: 29% (-13) Unfavourable: 63% (+16) Corbyn: Fav: 46% (+10) Unfav: 46% (-4) (via @YouGov, 11-12)2.4×05.6k3.1k1
31Jun 18, '21(Chesham & Amersham) result: LDEM: 56.7% (+30.4) CON: 35.5% (-19.9) GRN: 3.9% (-1.6) LAB: 1.6% (-11.2) REFUK: 1.1% (+1.1) BP: 0.5% (+0.5) FA: 0.4% (+0.4) REU: 0.3% (+0.3) Liber2.4×06k1.4k53
32Nov 12, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+5) CON: 34% (-4) LDEM: 10% (-) GRN: 5% (+1) via @SavantaComRes, 11 - 12 Nov Chgs. w/ 07 Nov2.3×06.4k1.4k46
33Jun 5, '17Westminster voting intention: CON: 41% (-2) LAB: 40% (+3) (via @Survation / 02 - 03 Jun) Chgs. w/ 27 May.2.2×04.2k2.8k0
34Dec 10, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 41% (+2) CON: 33% (-7) LDEM: 7% (+1) GRN: 6% (+2) via @focaldataHQ, 09 - 10 Dec Chgs. w/ 30 Apr2.1×07.1k1.2k27
35May 22, '17Welsh Westminster voting intention: LAB: 44% (+9) CON: 34% (-7) PC: 9% (-2) LDEM: 6% (-1) UKIP: 5% (+1) (via @YouGov / 18 - 21 May)2.1×04.3k2.5k0
36Nov 11, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 38% (+2) CON: 36% (-1) LDEM: 10% (-) GRN: 6% (-) via @RedfieldWilton, 10 Nov Chgs. w/ 08 Nov2.0×06.6k1.2k33
37Jun 9, '17The Conservative Party can no longer win a majority.2.0×05k2.5k0
38Jun 24, '22Tiverton & Honiton parliamentary by-election result LDEM: 52.9% (+38.1) CON: 38.5% (-21.7) LAB: 3.7% (-15.9) GRN: 2.5% (-1.3) REF: 1.1% (+1.1) UKIP: 0.6% (-1.1) Liberal Democra2.0×06.4k1.3k39
39May 25, '22As Prime Minister, Boris Johnson should... Resign: 59% Remain: 30% via @YouGov, 25 May2.0×06.9k1.5k20
40Dec 6, '19On who came across as more trustworthy in #BBCDebate: Jeremy Corbyn: 48% Boris Johnson: 38% via @YouGov Representative survey of viewers1.9×06.4k1.9k11
41Jun 10, '17On who would make best Prime Minister: T. May: 39% (-4) J. Corbyn: 39% (+7) (via @YouGov & @ShippersUnbound / 09 - 10 Jun) Chgs. w/ 07 Jun1.9×04.5k2.6k1
42Mar 30, '19Westminster voting intention: LAB: 41% (+5) CON: 36% (-7) LDEM: 7% (+1) UKIP: 7% (+2) via @DeltaPollUK Chgs. w/ 23 Feb1.9×04.8k1.9k14
43Mar 16, '19Westminster voting intention: LAB: 39% (+3) CON: 35% (-5) LDEM: 10% () UKIP: 5% (-) via @Survation, 15 Mar Chgs. w/ 18 Feb1.9×04.3k2k18
44Aug 2, '19Brecon & Radnorshire, result: LDEM: 43.5% (+14.3) CON: 39.0% (-9.6) BREX: 10.5% (+10.5) LAB: 5.3% (-12.5) MRLP: 1.0% (+1.0) UKIP: 0.8% (-0.6)1.9×04.4k1.4k20
45Oct 30, '20Westminster voting intention: LAB: 42% (+5) CON: 37% (-3) LDEM: 8% (-) GRN: 5% (-) via @IpsosMORI, 22 - 28 Oct1.9×05.1k1.1k28
46Sep 9, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 35% (+1) CON: 33% (-5) LDEM: 10% (+2) via @YouGov Chgs. w/ 03 Sep1.8×05.4k99925
47Nov 8, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 36% (-) CON: 35% (-4) GRN: 11% (+5) LDEM: 9% (-) via @IpsosMORI, 29 Oct - 04 Nov Chgs. w/ Sep1.8×05.1k1.1k30
48Jun 1, '17London Westminster voting intention: LAB: 50% (+9) CON: 33% (-3) LDEM: 11% (-3) UKIP: 3% (-3) GRN: 2 (-1) (via @YouGov / 26 - 31 May)1.8×03.9k2.3k2
49Jun 9, '17Tories gained seven seats from Labour; Labour gained 27 seats from the Tories.1.8×04.6k2.5k0
50Mar 25, '19"The government have handled Brexit well" Agree: 7% Disagree: 81% via @ComRes1.7×05.1k1.8k6
51Aug 19, '20Scottish independence voting intention: Yes: 55% (+3) No: 45% (-3) via @PanelbaseMD, 12 - 18 Aug Chgs. w/ 05 Jun1.7×04.9k1.4k17
52Dec 2, '17Westminster voting intention: LAB: 45% (+1) CON: 37% (-1) LDEM: 6% (-1) UKIP: 4% (-) GRN: 1% (-) via @Survation, 30 Nov - 01 Dec1.7×04.2k2k32
53Jun 18, '17Westminster voting intention: LAB: 44% CON: 41% LDEM: 6% UKIP: 2% (via @Survation)1.7×04.4k2.1k0
54Nov 6, '20Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+2) CON: 35% (-3) LDEM: 7% (+1) via @YouGov1.7×05.3k97218
55Jun 27, '20Preference for Prime Minister: Keir Starmer: 37% (+3) Boris Johnson: 35% (-) via @OpiniumResearch Chgs. w/ last week1.7×05.9k1.2k13
56Dec 11, '21Westminster voting intention: CON: 32% (-4) LAB: 41% (+3) LDEM: 9% (+1) GRN: 5% (-1) via @OpiniumResearch Chgs. w/ 25 Nov Largest Lab lead with pollster since 2014.1.7×06k1k27
57Apr 30, '21Westminster voting intention: CON: 39% (-4) LAB: 38% (+3) LDEM: 9% (+1) GRN: 6% (+2) via @Survation, 27 - 29 Apr Chgs. w/ 10 Apr1.6×04.8k1k29
58Apr 14, '22West Auckland (Durham) council by-election result: LAB: 56.3% (+12.2) CON: 32.6% (-10.2) IND: 11.0% (+11.0) No other Ind (-13.0) as prev. Votes cast: 1,697 Labour GAIN from Conserv1.6×07k8506
59Jun 22, '17On who would make best Prime Minister: J. Corbyn: 35% (+3) T. May: 34% (-9) (via @YouGov / 21 - 22 Jun) Chgs. w/ 07 Jun1.6×04.1k2k1
60Jul 6, '17Westminster voting intention: LAB: 46% CON: 38% LDEM: 6% UKIP: 4% GRN: 1% (via @YouGov / 05 - 06 Jul)1.6×04k2k0
61Dec 25, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% CON: 32% LDEM: 10% GRN: 7% via @focaldataHQ, 01 - 21 Dec MRP projection on these numbers would give... > Lab majority of 26 > Defeat fo1.6×04.8k90571
62Dec 11, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+3) CON: 32% (-1) LDEM: 8% (-1) GRN: 7% (-) REFUK: 7% (+1) via @YouGov, 09 - 10 Dec Chgs. w/ 09 Dec1.6×05.9k88624
63Dec 9, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+1) CON: 34% (-2) LDEM: 10% (+1) GRN: 4% (+1) REFUK: 3% (-) via @Survation, 08 - 09 Dec Chgs. w/ 01 Dec1.5×05.6k89726
64Jan 11, '22Regarding yesterday's revelations, the Prime Minister... Should resign: 66% Should not resign: 24% via @SavantaComRes, 11 Jan1.5×05.4k1.2k22
65May 30, '20Westminster voting intention: CON: 43% (-4) LAB: 39% (+4) LDEM: 6% (-) GRN: 3% (-) via @OpiniumResearch Chgs. w/ 22 May1.5×04.5k1.1k17
66Nov 15, '19"To what extent would you support or oppose a policy providing free broadband internet to all UK homes and businesses by 2030?" Support: 62% Oppose: 22% via @YouGov1.5×04.6k1.4k14
67May 26, '20Westminster voting intention: CON: 44% (-4) LAB: 38% (+5) via @YouGov1.5×04.2k1.3k24
68Dec 10, '21Castle (Tonbridge & Malling) by-election result: GRN: 59.3% (+36.0) CON: 36.8% (-7.3) LAB: 3.9% (-5.0) Green GAIN from Conservative. No LDem (-23.6) as prev. Votes cast: 1,2331.5×06.2k73812
69Dec 9, '21Old Bracknell (Bracknell Forest) council by-election result: LAB: 61.1% (+23.2) CON: 38.9% (-9.3) Labour GAIN from Conservative. No LDem (-13.9) as prev. Votes cast: 7101.5×06.3k77413
70May 23, '20On whether Dominic Cummings should or should not resign from his job as advisor to the Prime Minister: Should resign: 52% Should not resign: 28% via @YouGov, 23 May1.5×04.5k1.4k16
71Jan 3, '19On the railways being re-nationalised: Support: 56% Oppose: 15% via @YouGov, 02 Jan1.5×04.3k1.6k4
72Jan 14, '22Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+2) CON: 29% (+1) LDEM: 11% (-2) GRN: 6% (-1) REFUK: 6% (+2) via @YouGov1.4×05k86918
73Feb 26, '22Does the UK have a moral obligation to offer asylum to Ukrainian refugees fleeing the Russian invasion? Yes: 50% No: 32% via @YouGov1.4×05.4k66917
74Aug 11, '20Scottish independence voting intention: Yes: 53% (+4) No: 47% (-4) via @YouGov Chgs. w/ 14 Feb1.4×04.5k1.2k17
75Apr 7, '22Lyme and Charmouth (Dorset) council by-election result: GRN: 43.8% (+27.0) CON: 26.5% (-13.7) IND: 23.6% (-6.7) LAB: 6.1% (-6.6) Votes cast: 1,355 Green GAIN from Conservative.1.4×05.6k80013
76Aug 29, '20Westminster voting intention: CON: 40% (-2) LAB: 40% (+1) LDEM: 6% (+1) via @OpiniumResearch1.4×04k92223
77May 26, '20Dominic Cummings... Should resign: 66% Should not resign: 17% via @JLPartnersPolls1.4×04.4k1.3k15
78Jun 24, '22Wakefield parliamentary by-election result LAB: 47.9% (+8.1) CON: 30.0% (-17.3) IND (Akbar): 7.6% (+7.6) YRK: 4.3% (+2.4) Labour GAIN from Conservative.1.4×04.8k97025
79Dec 12, '19Pound Sterling now at its highest point against the Dollar in 12 months.1.4×04.3k1.3k7
80Dec 2, '22City of Chester parliamentary by-election, result: LAB: 61.2% (+11.6) CON: 22.4% (-15.9) LDEM: 8.4% (+1.5) GRN: 2.8% (+0.1) REF: 2.7% (+0.2) REU: 1.0% (+1.0) UKIP: 0.6% (+0.6) MRLP1.3×04.5k81425
81Apr 14, '22Bisley and West End (Surrey Heath) council by-election result: LDEM: 66.0% (+48.8) CON: 34.0% (-0.8) No Ind (-31.8), UKIP (-9.3) and Lab (-6.9) as prev. Votes cast: 1,948 Liberal D1.3×05k79014
82Dec 3, '21Marine (Worthing) by-election result: LAB: 50.2% (+17.6) CON: 39.4% (-1.6) GRN: 5.9% (-3.7) LDEM: 4.5% (-3.8) Labour GAIN from Conservative. No UKIP (-8.4) as prev. Votes cast: 2,41.3×05.2k67217
83Jul 2, '21Labour HOLD Batley & Spen.1.3×05.3k5318
84Sep 8, '22Warton (Lancaster) council by-election result: GRN: 65.7% (+32.8) CON: 24.6% (-22.7) LAB: 6.4% (-13.5) LDEM: 3.3% (+3.3) Votes cast: 688 Green GAIN from Conservative.1.3×05.1k73112
85Mar 12, '21Conservative GAIN Leaderdale & Melrose (Scottish Borders) from SNP.1.3×04.9k72312
86Jan 15, '22Westminster voting intention: LAB 41% (+3) CON: 27% (-3) LDEM: 11% (+1) GRN: 8% (-2) REFUK: 5% (-2) via @FindoutnowUK, 13 Jan Chgs. w/ 15 Dec1.3×04.6k77019
87Mar 20, '19Nothing.1.2×04.2k1.2k3
88Dec 16, '21Highfield (Ashford) council by-election result: GRN: 40.0% (+21.2) CON: 34.1% (-7.0) AIND: 21.1% (-7.4) LAB: 4.8% (+4.8) Green GAIN from Conservative. Votes cast: 4781.2×05.2k62913
89Nov 4, '21Owen Paterson MP (Con, North Shropshire) has resigned.1.2×04k5568
90Jun 18, '21Liberal Democrat GAIN Chesham & Amersham from Conservative.1.1×04.2k56111
91Jun 24, '22Liberal Democrat GAIN Tiverton & Honiton from Conservative.1.1×04.7k4906
92Oct 1, '21Horndean Downs (East Hampshire) by-election result: GRN: 49.2% (+33.3) CON: 44.7% (-8.0) IND: 6.1% (-12.6) Green GAIN from Conservative. No LDem (-12.8) as prev.1.0×04.1k58517
93Jan 27, '22Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (+1) CON: 31% (-3) LDEM: 13% (+2) GRN: 9% (+2) via @IpsosMORI, 19 - 25 Jan1.0×03.8k68613
94Mar 11, '22Ryhall & Casterton (Rutland) council by-election result: GRN: 51.2% (+32.1) CON: 48.8% (-7.5) Votes cast: 549 No LDem (-24.6) as prev. Green GAIN from Conservative.1.0×04.3k4594
95Jan 14, '22The Littletons (Wychavon) council by-election result: GRN: 39.1% (-6.3) CON: 36.8% (-17.8) LDEM: 24.1% (+24.1) Votes cast: 744 Green GAIN from Conservative.1.0×04.2k49812
96May 19, '22Ellel (Lancaster) council by-election result: GRN: 39.7% (+19.5) LAB: 30.4% (-1.2) CON: 27.4% (-14.4) LDEM: 2.5% (-4.0) Votes cast: 1,377 Green GAIN from Conservative.1.0×04.1k5435
97Dec 9, '21Westminster voting intention: LAB: 37% (+4) CON: 33% (-3) LDEM: 9% (-) GRN: 7% (-2) REFUK: 6% (-) via @YouGov, 08 - 09 Dec Chgs. w/ 02 Dec1.0×03.8k53011
98May 8, '21Labour GAIN Cambridgeshire & Peterborough mayoralty from Conservative.1.0×03.9k51812
99Nov 5, '21Bourne (West Sussex) by-election result: LDEM: 49.7% (+20.7) CON: 37.6% (-13.4) GRN: 7.5% (-3.4) LAB: 5.3% (-3.9) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative.1.0×03.6k6325
100Apr 8, '22Storrington and Washington (Horsham) council by-election result: GRN: 47.9% (+47.9) CON: 35.2% (-16.1) LDEM: 16.9% (-13.5) No Lab (-18.2) as prev. Votes cast: 2,677 Green GAIN from1.0×03.9k4987

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